OK, as I promised . . . More on how the Pac-5 playoffs are shaping up:
The Moore League's four representatives are already determined going into tonight's league finales: Compton, Jordan, Lakewood and Poly.
Poly is the No. 1 seed (from the league and overall) if it improves its league winning streak to 79 tonight at Jordan.
If that happens and Compton beats visiting Lakewood, the seeding would be: 1. Poly; 2. Compton; 3. Jordan; 4. Lakewood.
If Poly and Lakewood win tonight, the Jackrabbits would be the No. 1 seed with Compton, Jordan and Lakewood tied for second at 4-2. A coin flip would determine the 2-4 seeds.
If Poly loses and Lakewood wins, Jordan is the No. 1 seed (based on its victory over Poly), with the Jackrabbits the 2 seed, the Lancers the 3 seed and the Tarbabes the 4 seed.
If Poly loses and Compton wins, there is a three-way tie for the league title and Lakewood would go as the 4 seed. A coin flip would determine the Compton, Jordan and Poly seeds.
Got that?
The South Coast League is rather simple. Barring two major upsets (Dana Hills over unbeaten Tesoro and Aliso Viejo over San Clemente), its representatives (by seeding) will be Tesoro, Mission Viejo and San Clemente.
The Serra League is also a bit murky.
One thing is simple: If unbeaten Notre Dame knocks off Bishop Amat, the Knights will be the league's top seed to the playoffs and (assuming Poly beats Jordan), the No. 2 overall seed in the 16-team field.
Determining the league's other automatic bid (it has just four members so it gets only two automatic spots) is where things get wobbly.
A Notre Dame win over Bishop Amat and a Crespi win against Loyola would leave Bishop Amat, Crespi and Loyola with 1-2 league records.
Since Crespi would have beaten Loyola but lost to Bishop Amat and Loyola beat Bishop Amat, a coin flip would have to be used to determine the 2 seed and the at-large candidate, with the third team having no shot at the playoffs.
Notre Dame and Loyola wins tonight would make Notre Dame the 1 seed (at 3-0) and Loyola the 2 seed (at 2-1). Bishop Amat (1-2) would be the at-large candidate and Crespi (at 0-3), the runner-up in the division final to Poly last year, would stay home this season.
A Bishop Amat upset of Notre Dame and Loyola win over Crespi would create a three-way tie for the championship and a coin flip would determine the top 2 seeds and the at-large candidate.
After explaining all five leagues' playoff scenarios, I need a couple of Advil.
I'll be at the Poly at Jordan game tonight, so (assuming I find a spot in the press box), I'll try to do some in-game blogging and provide updates on the St. John Bosco-Servite and Lakewood-Compton scores' as I pick them up!
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