Odds on winning the Daytona 500

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Jeff Gordon, Jimmie Johnson and Dale Earnhardt Jr. are the favorites to win Sunday's Daytona 500 according to odds released by betEd.com.
The Hendrick Motorsports trio each has a 9-2 chance of winning the 50th running of the Daytona 500. Tony Stewart and his new Toyota from Joe Gibbs Racing is next at 6-1.
From there, the odds drop off pretty dramatically. Kevin Harvick, last year's Daytona 500 winner, and Kurt Busch are 15-1 to win the race.
The top Ford driver is Matt Kenseth for Roush Fenway Racing, listed at 20-1. Denny Hamlin, who won one of the Gatorade Duels in a Toyota for Joe Gibbs Racing, is 18-1.
I can see Earnhardt being the favorite. He's already won two races at Daytona this month and probably should have a little better odds than Johnson and Gordon at this point.
As for Stewart, he just has bad luck in the Daytona 500. He's becoming the next Dale Earnhardt in this regard. There's no way he should have these good of odds to win the race.
Kenseth is an interesting pick. Of all the Ford guys, he has the best chance. But the way things have been going at Daytona, any Ford driver is a longshot.
If I was betting on this race, and I would never endorse betting on NASCAR, the two sleepers I would take a hard look at are Reed Sorenson and Casey Mears.
Sorensen isn't even listed and would be a field bet at 10-1. There are only 28 drivers listed with specific odds, meaning a bet for Sorenson would mean a bet for 15 drivers who have very little chance of finishing the race, let alone winning it.
But Sorenson looked really good in his Duel race. Might be worth a look.
As for Mears, the other Hendrick Motorsports driver, he's 30-1 to win the Daytona 500. That's a good bet for a driver and team that presumably has the same equipment as Gordon, Johnson and Earnhardt Jr. Keep in mind that he is driving for the team that put together Kyle Busch's cars last year. That team made the Chase and won a race last year. That race was Bristol, but still, it wasn't like Busch had crap cars all year.
The real longshots are David Ragan, Robby Gordon, Patrick Carpentier and Paul Menard. They are all 120-1 to win the Daytona 500 and quite honestly, that's being optimistic.

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About Haddock
in the Paddock


Tim Haddock covers motorsports — including stock-car and open-wheel racing — for the Los Angeles Daily News.

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This page contains a single entry by Tim Haddock published on February 15, 2008 4:47 PM.

Ford finally wins something was the previous entry in this blog.

Some final thoughts before the start of the Daytona 500 is the next entry in this blog.

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