Time for some early Derby talk

So who’s going to win the 2009 Kentucky Derby, huh? I know, silly question considering the winner may not have even made his or her first career start. But hey, it’s never too early to speculate, right?

You can start right here at home when talking about some of the contenders. Bob Baffert is mighty high on CashCall Futurity winner Pioneerof the Nile, and rightfully so. Ron Ellis, who’s never won a Derby, has a couple of nice 2-year-olds in Believe in Hope and Rail Trip. Doug O’Neill has Square Eddie, who ran well on Breeders’ Cup day.

Then, of course, there’s Vineyard Haven — a lot of folks’ top pick for next May’s Run for the Roses after victories in the Champagne and Hopeful stakes back east. He’s now in Dubai, property of Godolphin Stable. Midshipman, Breeders’ Cup Juvenile winner, is also in Dubai.

So who do you like? Who’s your early Derby pick? I’d pick Midshipman if he wasn’t going to try to win the Derby by prepping in Dubai. I don’t like that route. My opinion is that the Derby winner isn’t even on the radar yet. Remember Big Brown? Last year at this time few knew about the future Derby and Preakness winner.

4 thoughts on “Time for some early Derby talk

  1. Since SQUARE EDDIE ran like a superstar as a 2 yr old, maybe only having 2 starts this early might be a good idea, though it wasnt planned this way. But I do believe this might not have worked out any better for SQUARE EDDIE coming into this Derby lightly raced while in his last start showed a world of class passing the field ON THE TURN with authority only to run out of gass the last 70 yards…..hummmmmmmm, a fantastic prep race that I do believe the doctor ordered. LOOK AT HIS 2 YR OLD FOUNDATION, and the class that he faced! No other horse in this Derby field has faced any better quality.Can SQUARE EDDIE become the likes of NORTHERN DANCER and SUNNYS HALO! What the three have in likes is based Canadian Bred.

  2. Douglas,
    Well, you’re certainly going to get a better price on the colt than you would if he’d had three or four preps going into the Derby. There’s no doubt this guy has the talent to win Saturday, I mean, he finished second to Midshipman in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile. A lot of barriers have been broken the past few years, and who knows, maybe Square Eddie’s connections will have the last laugh. And you’re right, his race in the Lexington looked like a colt who needed the race and could fire a big one next time out.

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