Lookin At Lucky retained the No. 1 spot in the Kentucky Derby top 10 that I submitted to the Paulick Report this week for one major reason — his overall resume is still greater than Eskendereya’s.
Granted, the Todd Pletcher-trained Eskendereya has looked like a monster in his past two starts, winning the Fountain of Youth Stakes at Gulfstream Park and the Wood Memorial at Aqueduct by a combined 18 1/4 lengths. He might still be on the improve, which is a scary thought.
But Lookin At Lucky, whose only two career losses in eight races were a head defeat in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile when he started from the outside in a 13-horse field and last Saturday’s Santa Anita Derby when he lost all chance around the far turn after taking up dramatically, is going to run a huge race at Churchill Downs on May 1.
I think he’ll like the dirt better and jockey Garrett Gomez learned a valuable lesson on Saturday, which is to keep the horse on the outside and just let him run. Expect a much different colt at Churchill Downs.
My latest top 10:
1. Lookin At Lucky — Expect a much better ride by Gomez in the Derby
2. Eskendereya — Is he the next Bellamy Road, or another Big Brown?
3. Sidney’s Candy — I have the feeling this guy can rate if necessary
4. Dublin — Will try to improve on Rebel effort in Saturday’s Arkansas Derby
5. Noble’s Promise — Always right there, but hasn’t kicked door in recently
6. Interactif — One of eight Pletcher runners that could start in the Derby
7. Conveyance — Baffert hasn’t given up on him yet so I won’t either
8. Ice Box — Florida Derby winner will run in Kentucky off six-week layoff
9. Endorsement — Like the way he won Sunland Derby, but how good is he?
10. Super Saver — Eager to see how he runs at Oaklawn Park on Saturday