Other than the top three in the Kentucky Derby rankings I submitted to the Paulick Report this week, I have been less than inspired by most of the runners. To me, there is a large gap between the top three — Lookin At Lucky, Eskendereya and Sidney’s Candy — and the rest of the contenders.
I was disappointed that Wayne Lukas’ Dublin could not go past 17-1 long shot Line of David in the Arkansas Derby. Super Saver, trained by Todd Pletcher, could not go by the winner either, but it was only his second race of 2010 and he could improve off that effort on May 1. Dublin didn’t have that excuse because if was his third start as a 3-year-old, though I’m hardly ready to dismiss him on Derby Day, not when Lukas has won four Derbies and is still high on the colt.
For some reason, call it a gut feeling or whatever, but I still have a feeling Conveyance, despite fading in the Sunland Derby, is going to run big in the Run for the Roses. Bob Baffert has not given up on the Indian Charlie colt and so I won’t either.
To me, the rest of the list is a grab bag. But the way these horses can improve from start to start early in their 3-year-old season, it’s not impossible that we get another huge price on Derby Day.
My latest Kentucky Derby rankings:
1. Lookin At Lucky — No 3-year-old has better overall resume than this guy
2. Eskendereya — Many think he’s the one who’ll give Pletcher first Derby victory
3. Sidney’s Candy — Talamo gets second shot after last year’s disappointment
4. Conveyance — Can he go gate to wire for Baffert like War Emblem in 2002?
5. Super Saver — Has already won by five lengths at Churchill as a 2-year-old
6. Dublin — Come May 1, it will be put up or shut up time for this talented colt
7. Ice Box — Career-best Beyer of 99 fits with most of the other contenders
8. Endorsement — One of four WinStar Farm runners who could make Derby
9. American Lion — Showed he liked dirt when he won the Illinois Derby
10. Noble’s Promise — Lackluster Arkansas Derby effort should produce nice Derby odds