With two months to go until the Nov. 4 general election, Bonnie Lowenthal, the Democratic candidate for the 54th Assembly District, says she is well-positioned to win.
Lowenthal today released the results of a survey conducted for her campaign that says the Long Beach City Councilwoman has a strong lead over her opponent, Republican Gabriella Holt, a Palos Verdes Peninsula nurse, teacher and former TV station manager.
The 54th District includes most of Long Beach, Signal Hill, Catalina Island, the Palos Verdes Peninsula and part of Carson.
According to the survey, conducted by Goodwin Simon Victoria Research, Lowenthal has support from 52 percent of voters, compared with 30 percent for Holt. Another 3 percent chose Libertarian candidate John Kling, a Long Beach engineer, while 2 percent responded "other" and 13 percent said they weren't sure, the survey says.
The poll of 400 voters was conducted on Aug. 26 and 27 and has a margin of error of +/- 5 percent. Before the June primary election, Lowenthal also released results of a poll that showed her with a commanding lead over fellow Democratic candidate Tonia Reyes Uranga, and Lowenthal ultimately trounced her opponent with about three-quarters of the vote.
Check out the survey results for the entire 54th and for three key cities below:
|
|
LOWENTHAL |
HOLT |
|
All voters |
52% |
30% |
|
|
54% |
27% |
|
San Pedro (LA) |
57% |
29% |
|
Palos Verdes |
50% |
34% |
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Obviously done prior to the two conventions. With the 15+ point swing in the presidential polls as a result of Governor Palin, this poll is likely obsolete.
Also, this survey was chartered by the Lowenthal campaign, and purely based on a registration % for polling. Voter turnout is a different metric, given the 46% vote Tom McClintock received in 2006 within the 54th AD.
Basically, this poll is too old to be accurate anymore.