I've been asked numerous, numerous, numerous times this week:"Who is going to win, Lakewood or Poly?" For the most part, I was noncommittal, waiting to take in a week's worth of interviews, stories, etc.
But now the time has come for that pick and the others in the area this weekend.
PAC-5 DIVISION
Long Beach Poly (12-0) vs. Lakewood (6-6) at Cerritos College, Friday at 7 p.m.
There's been so much hype about this all-LBUSD semifinal to make your head spin. Games like this, re: Super Bowl, etc., rarely live up to their billing, but I'm pretty sure this one will. The first game was pretty interesting, even though Poly won by pretty good margin, 32-15. But this Lakewood team is not the same one that got beat in early October. The defense is stronger and the offense has been clicking for a full month or more. RB Jerry Stone, who missed the first go-around with Poly, is a big reason why. He will surely add another dimension or two for the Lancers and help keep the Jackrabbits off balance. QB Jesse Scroggins did a pretty fair job in the first game, and if Stone can buy him an extra or second or two, he should be able to do even more damage. Poly doesn't seem to be the same team it was back then either, however, going a bit in the opposite direction. The 'Rabbits have had to win their two playoff games late and come into this week banged up (just who is hurt and if they will play won't be known until 7 p.m.-ish tonight) following last week's win vs. Esperanza. Still, Poly possess arguably the top defense in the nation and the best 1-2 RB punch around in Melvin Richardson and Daveon Barner. Those two will get their yardage, but the Lancers need to make sure they don't bust some big game-changing plays. While Lakewood would appear to be able to run a balanced attack at Poly tonight, it's unclear if the Jackrabbits can do the same. The game could rest on just how well Poly, with QB Morgan Fennell, can throw the ball. I really believe that Lakewood has as good a chance as any Moore League team has had at beating Poly over the past decade-plus, but..... I'm picking safely and going with what I've been told over and over again this week - "You can't pick against Poly until they have lost." So, Poly in a very physical and close game, 23-21.
Tesoro (12-0) vs. Orange Lutheran (10-2) at Santa Ana Stadium, Saturday at 7:30 p.m.
The winner of this O.C. clash will face Poly or Lakewood in the title game next Saturday. Tesoro is unbeaten and looking really, really good, but Lutheran's big win vs. S.O. Notre Dame leads me into the Lancers' direction.
SOUTHERN DIVISION
Norwalk (8-4) at Laguna Hills (11-0) Friday at 7 p.m.
Has Cinderella finally met her match in undefeated and top-seeded Laguna Hills. The Lancers have been the surprise team in the area and this division, with foes unable to stop RBs Jose Guzman, Ray Craig and Julio Macias, who have combined to rush for more than 4,000 yards this year. However, they haven't seen a defense as good as Laguna Hills appears to have. The Hawks have downright stopped teams, allowing 96 points in 11 games. They say defense wins, so it would seem that Norwalk's first big playoff run since the 1970s is about to come to a close. Too bad, as an all-Suburban League final would have been nice.
Mayfair (9-3) vs. Corona del Mar (10-2) at Newport Harbor High, Saturday at 7 p.m.
The Monsoons played a tough nonleague schedule - which included losses to Lakewood and Los Alamtios - to get ready for games like this. With offensive weapons like QB Jimmy Ohiri, WR Brandon Estrada and RB Dominique Small on offense and strong defense for Mayfair, can a team that went just 3-6 a year ago really compete. Doubt it. Take Mayfair.
NORTHWEST DIVISION
Oaks Christian (12-0) at Morro Bay (8-4) Friday at 7 p.m.
Serra (12-0) at El Segundo (10-2) Saturday at 7 p.m.
I'm putting these two picks into one simple statement. Serra and Oaks Christian have been on a collision course since the first snap of the year.
LA CITY SECTION
CITY DIVISION
Crenshaw (9-2) at Narbonne (11-1), Friday, 7 p.m.
Taft (11-1) at San Pedro (11-1), Friday, 7 p.m.
Again, a 2-for-1 deal. The Marine League is the best football league in the City and Narbonne and San Pedro will prove that to be true. However, Crenshaw has the ability to push the issue against the top-seeded team. San Pedro, with its stout defense, seems to be a safer pick to the Coliseum.