Week 5 college picks

Doing this a day early thanks to the USC game being tonight. Decent week last week, going 6-4 against the spread. Hopefully I’ll surge back above .500 after this.

USC (-24) at Oregon State
This line has gone down a point over the past couple of days. Perhaps bettors just watched the ESPN segment profiling the Trojans’ recent troubles in Corvallis – a place where they are 1-2 this decade. However, this Oregon State team can’t stop anyone. So past OSU issues or not, USC will rule this game.
USC 40, Oregon State 10

Fresno State (-7.5) at UCLA
Ok, I think its safe to expunge the Tennessee victory out of the consciousness – especially since the Vols seem to have their own problems. UCLA is not good, nor will it be good this year. Fresno State almost lost to Toledo in a letdown game last week, but will be up for a trip to the Rose Bowl. That’s not good for the Bruins.
Fresno State 27, UCLA 16

Stanford (+2.5) at Washington
At this point, Tyrone Willingham would probably do just about anything – at least anything that won’t get him throw in jail – to get the Huskies a win. Stanford is improved, but they haven’t exactly lit the world on fire since beating Oregon State in the opener. However, they should win this.
Stanford 28, Washington 24

Oregon (-21.5) at Washington State
The Ducks were disappointing in losing to Boise State and now are down to a true freshman quarterback, but it doesn’t matter. Nothing really matters against Wazzu, which is truly and deeply horrible.
Oregon 38, Washington State 7

Alabama (+6.5) at Georgia
I guess Georgia is wearing black uniforms on Saturday. In the South, that must pass for breaking news. Either way, it doesn’t matter if these guys are wearing black uniforms or leisure suits, this game will be intense. This win would further prove that Bama is back, but I’ll take the Dogs.
Georgia 31, Alabama 20

TCU (+18) at Oklahoma
Their last meeting is September 2005 still gives Oklahoma fans nightmares, as a TCU team came into Norman and shocked the national runners-up 17-10. You know the Sooners will be talking about that loss in preparation for today and it should help, but TCU is too solid of a team to get blown out. Look for a weak backdoor cover.
Oklahoma 28, TCU 13

Illinois (+16) at Penn State
The Nittany Lions have been destroying everything in their path, but besides Oregon State, that path has been littered with the dregs of college football. This spread seems inflated to me, as Illinois has a darn good team, a team capable of going to PSU and winning. I think the Nits win, but don’t cover.
Penn State 33, Illinois 24

Virginia Tech (+7) at Nebraska
This is a benchmark game for the Huskers. While they are 3-0, it’s not like they’ve played the elite of the nation to get to that point. Va. Tech is winning ugly, but that’s pretty much their MO. I see another ugly game and another gory Hokie win.
Virginia Tech 19, Nebraska 17

Tennessee (+7) at Auburn
I’m really not sure what Vegas is seeing in this game. Tennessee has looked bad in losses to UCLA and Florida, while Auburn is a legitimate Top 15 team. I guess Vegas expects the Vols to step it up and show some pride, or Auburn to let down after losing late to LSU. I think Auburn rolls.
Auburn 27, Tennessee 10

Wisconsin (-6) at Michigan
I shouldn’t write about this game, but I will. This spread shot up from 3 to 6.5 before stabilzing and starting to move down a tiny bit. What does this mean? Who knows? I could see Michigan hanging tight with the Badgers, but it’s probably too much to ask for them to win this game.
Wisconsin 21, Michigan 17

Overall record: 30-10. Record against spread: 19-20-1

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