Week 11 college picks

I rocked it out last week, as my 7-3 record against the spread put me above. 500. Time to party, but after I make these picks of course.

California (+22) at USC
I’ve been pretty high on Cal this year, ranking them higher in my poll than the regular polls do. But this game sets up to be a butt-kicking. USC is angry about a perceived BCS slight and will be looking to do whatever they can to turn heads. Since Cal is the only ranked team left on the Trojans’ schedule, they’ll suffer for that.
USC 38, California 10

Oregon State (-7.5) at UCLA
This game may be dependent on who gets most of the time at QB for the Beavers. If its Lyle Moevao, Oregon State wins and likely covers. If its Sean Canfield, UCLA probably wins. So I will compromise a bit on this. I’ll predict Oregon State to win, but I’ll predict the Bruins to give them a battle.
Oregon State 23, UCLA 20

Stanford (+14) at Oregon
The Oregon passing game has pretty much gone to hell over the past few weeks. They can run the ball well, probably better than any team in the Pac-10, but without that passing threat and without a lockdown defense, I don’t see them blowing out Stanford. Oregon wins, Cardinal cover.
Oregon 34, Stanford 23

Arizona (-41) at Washington State
Seriously, I really don’t know what to say about Washington State anymore. They are so unbelievably bad that I can’t even raise an eyebrow at this point spread. They should just forfeit the rest of this season.
Arizona 59, Washington State 3

Arizona State (-14.5) at Washington
It’s very rare that a team can be on a six-game losing streak and still be favored on the road by over two touchdowns. If that statement alone doesn’t tell you how bad Washington football is, then I really don’t know what to say. Still, this game is goofy. I shouldn’t take points with the Huskies, but I’m going to. Ugh.
Arizona State 20, Washington 7

Oklahoma State (+3) at Texas Tech
A couple weeks back, Texas had a big win against Oklahoma and had Missouri at home the week after. I predicted the Longhorns to be flat and lose. I was way wrong, as UT murdered Mizzou. Well, Texas Tech is coming off a huge win against Texas and has Oklahoma State, who is also a top 10 team, coming in. Not making the mistake with Tech that I did with Texas.
Texas Tech 42, Oklahoma State 30

Alabama (-3.5) at LSU
Apparently the LSU people are upset with Nick Saban for coaching Alabama. They should be more upset with a defense that has given up over 50 points in a game twice this year, including two weeks ago at home against Georgia. Alabama is better than Georgia. Emotion will lift LSU early, but Alabama just has too many horses.
Alabama 35, LSU 20

Penn State (-7.5) at Iowa
With Ohio State vanquished a couple of weeks ago, it seems like Penn State has a free ride to a possible national championship game. However, this game could be a tricky one. Iowa plays good defense, runs the ball well, is tough to beat at home and traditionally gives Penn State fits. The Nittany Lions will have to sweat this one out, but will prevail.
Penn State 21, Iowa 16

Georgia Tech (+4) at North Carolina
The ACC has been one big massive jumble of whatever, with 6 or 7 teams having two losses in the conference. A couple of those will take the field in this game. It’s weird seeing these two schools play in a big game on the gridiron instead of the hardwood, but it should be a good one. I’ll take the Heels hitting free throws down the stretch.
North Carolina 24, Georgia Tech 17

Georgia (+12) at Kentucky
Kind of a random last game but hey, I needed to pick 10. The Bulldogs will do one of two things after getting destroyed by Florida last week – just kick the living daylights out of Kentucky or tank it and maybe lose. I’m picking the latter to happen, even going out on a limb and taking the Wildcats.
Kentucky 20, Georgia 17

Overall record: 71-29. Against the spread: 50-49-1

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