Spending vs. Savings -- the confusion

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I'm confused.

Growing up, I heard it a lot.... "Save your money...."

I finally bought into it, and for the most part I'm glad I have lived by that approach - with a few glitches along the way.

But lately, as I've absorbed this business beat, I've been hearing something else as the economy takes a dive -- respected people, business leaders, politicians...now many of them are saying, "Spend your money...."

It's the only way we are going to bring our consumer-driven economy back to health.

Noted leaders in retail, in car sales, lament the downfall of their industries as they plead with consumers to keep the economy going by buying their products. It's the only way titans such as GM became such titans, and employed so many people - because people spent money on their products, which fueled and came to symbolize the American way of life, some say.

Consumer-driven our economy absolutely is. Consumer spending drives 70 percent of our economy. It's what creates jobs, buys homes, cars....

It drives our credit markers. It drives everything...

I'd like to think much of that spending is for what we need. But I doubt it. For some - even myself at times - the swipe of a credit card feels good, and that debt I'm tacking on to my balance might even be to indulge myself.

But I'm still worried.

We've got conflicting messages in this society. Spend vs. Save. Spend vs. Save.

Commercials for cars and awesome televisions lure us while our parents and the people who know better tell us to not take the bait.

While some may say this is just a byproduct of living in a market economy, it seems to me the consequences are very dangerous. Credit card companies get kids out of college to get credit cards, and they go out and rack up a bunch of debt. Our own government -our own leaders - rack up trillions in debt, as if it's a good thing.

And then we act shocked when our economy goes down the drain because a bunch of bankers sold off their risk to a bunch of other financial folks, who sold off their risk.

What's the message - if you're not a business school graduate. Should we save? Should we buy?

It seems like a tension that needs to be worked out. I don't know about you, but it seems like some of the tension can be worked out in our schools. How come I feel bad that none of this financial stuff came my way while I was in school? Maybe I wasn't listening, but I'm pretty sure there was no class at my school called Financial Literacy 101, or Bank Account Basics. In a society geared on getting us to spend, it seems like we need some kind of counterbalance to get us to save - or at least know the best way to spend.

I don't think we get that. We have to learn in times like these - and that's the worst time - because we are scared to spend. And that fear isn't good for any business.

I've resigned myself - again, with a few glitches on the way - to buying what I need, instead of what I want. Maybe that's the only way to go. But it's hard. I want that fancier car, the nicer suit, etc.

But is buying all that stuff - or even being able to buy all that stuff -- the American dream?

Let's hope we haven't come to that.

Among the things I've learned on this beat over the last four months as a business reporter, is that our economy is grounded on consumer confidence. Close our wallets and the entire economy shuts down.

That sure seems like an awfully flimsy foundation for an economy. I hope I'm wrong.

There's got to be more than getting people to buy something that drives society.

At the end of the day, maybe saving will get us to whatever that something is. But that's going to take a lot of sacrifice.


1 Comments

Paul said:

I just stumbled upon your post, just a couple of years too late.

You are thinking, kudos for you for not drinking the kool aid.

The theory that spending helps the economy comes from Keynesian economists. The idea that saving helps the economy is advocated by Austrian economists.

Let me give you an example to clarify what the Austrian take on this is:

Suppose there are 3 people in an island. John, Jake and Carl. They all fish all day and produce 1 fish a day, with which they sustain themselves.

Now, John, an entrepreneur thinks "what if I have a device that can help me catch more fish". And he comes up with the idea of making a net. Well, he is working all day, so he does not have time to fish and to make a net. He decides to take a risk and work all day making a net. The next day he comes with his net and catches 2 fish in that day. Meanwhile Jake and Carl fish 1 day.

Note what happened. The economy of that island has grown. Now John produces 2 fish a day, Jake 1 and Carl 1. That is 1 more fish than before. If you look carefully, you can see that it grew only because John lived bellow his means for 1 day. That is he under consumed. He never stopped working, but it is precisely the fact that he was willing to go hungry 1 day that he is able now to eat 2.

At a global scale it works the same way. The only reason we can start a new business, create employment and grow richer, is because someone saved his money in order to fund the new business. That person that saved his money could have enjoyed his money with a vacation to Hawaii. Instead he forfeits his dream vacation in order to create a business, so that he can have bigger longer vacation one day. Just like John forfeits his fish in order to create the net so that he can eat more fish one day.

Keynesians will say: if everyone is saving, then who is going to consume? who can get a job if no one buys what you produce?. The answer is simple: foreigners, we need to stop consuming, and start EXPORTING. The less we consume, the more resources we can dedicate to grow business that can produce stuff to trade with foreigners. This way we would finally bring down the trade deficit and our huge mounting debt.

But even if there were no foreigners, if everyone saved, then what do people save for? well, obviously, people save in order to consume tomorrow. If everyone is saving, then all it means is that consumption will be greater tomorrow. Smart entrepreneurs will borrow this savings and start businesses that will satisfy the future increased demand.

It is no coincidence that the fastest growing economy is also the one with the highest savings rate (China).

If you care for an elaboration on the island example, I recommend this book:
http://www.amazon.com/How-Economy-Grows-Why-Crashes/dp/047052670X

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Economic Alert is a daily blog on business and the economy in the San Gabriel Valley and beyond, featuring updates and observations from the staff of the San Gabriel Valley Newspaper Group. SGVN includes the San Gabriel Valley Tribune, Pasadena Star-News and Whittier Daily News.

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Kevin Smith is business editor for the San Gabriel Valley Newspaper Group. Over the past 15 years, Smith has covered development, housing, employment, technology and financial trends for a variety of newspapers.
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Ryan Carter covers business and the economy for the San Gabriel Valley Newspaper Group.
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This page contains a single entry by Ryan Carter published on December 31, 2008 3:56 PM.

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