Arroyo coach Jim Singiser puts it best: “All summer passing tells us is who should be starting the first day of pads. And that can change by lunch that first day.”

It’s sophomore QB Adan Guillen’s turn to run the show at Rosemead

The Mission Valley League kicks off my league predictions from top to bottom. Tell me where I went wrong (or right) by casting your vote.

1. Arroyo — Best overall player in the league = league championship. That’s how it’s been the past two years and that’s how it will be this year. QB/S Steven Rivera is the league’s best offensive and defensive player. He allows Arroyo to do something that no other MVL team can do — pass the ball effectively. The Knights three-peat … but then ….?????
Predicted record: 9-1 overall, 5-0 in league
Playoffs: Yes. Top-four seed in Mid-Valley.

2. Rosemead — The Panthers have plenty of experience back on defense and they weren’t exactly embarrassed on that side of the ball when they lost to Arroyo last year. But until a running back and quarterback are established, this is a team playing with arm tied behind its back. The defense will be counted on too heavily to win the tougher games on the schedule. The offense should be finally hitting its stride by the end of the season, but it cannot be anywhere near as good as ’10 when an experience Matt Macias was running the show and Matt Fregoso was running wild.
Predicted record: 6-4 overall, 4-1 in league.
Playoffs: Yes.

3. El Monte — The Lions have a major factor to replace in Mike Jimenez, who came out of nowhere to rush for 1,800 yards. Can the Lions find another surprise like that? Got me. The QB situation has seen last year’s starter Manuel Santa Cruz supplanted by Brandon Martinez, but now Santa Cruz gives the Lions another weapon elsewhere. The receivers led by Memo Silva are solid. Can El Monte stop anyone? That’s the issue. Arroyo may be too tall of an order, but they certainly showed they can score on Rosemead last year. So now they need to stop the Panthers. Do that in the league opener and this could be a playoff team, which is still might be if CIF is kind.
Predicted record: 5-5 overall, 3-2 in league.
Playoffs: No.

4. Gabrielino
— Typically, teams that don’t post rosters on Maxpreps for two straight years are bad bets to have winning seasons. That’s what you’ve got going on at Gabrielino, where the Eags have gone 7-13 the past two years. This once-certain MVL contender has floundered in recent years, but there’s talk that a Perini-led run attack could lead to an improved situation. In any event, The Fightin Tongva had better shore up a defense that allowed 30 points per game in league last year. Numbers like that don’t fly when you score only 13 a game.
Predicted record: 4-6 overall, 2-3 in league.
Playoffs: No.

5. South El Monte
— I like what new coach Ibis Aguilar is doing. He enlisted the help of longtime Bonita DC Ray Medina to come up with a better scheme for his team. That should help. He also switched to a spread on offense, which while I don’t understand how, helps teams that can’t play smashmouth. Aguilar is getting more kids on campus involved, which should also help. But when all your losses the season prior come by 14 points or more, you have to wonder just how far the gap can be closed in less than a year.
Predicted record: 1-9 overall, 1-4 in league.
Playoffs: No.

6. Mountain View — Year 2 of Jimmy Wilson’s Wing T may not go as well as some are expecting. Now that the rest of the league has had a chance to see it and has ample films on it, the Vikes may not be such a gimmick this season. Plus, there’s a lot to replace in terms of skill guys. RBs like Jossymar Ullloa don’t fall off trees at places like Mountain View, so replacing him will be tough. Plus, a new QB will be running the show. The change in tactics have breathed life into the program after going 5-5 last season, but I see a big step back this year before another step forward.
Predicted record: 2-8 overall, 0-5 in league.
Playoffs: No.

Follow me on Twitter @ChemicalAT

  • SaintsR4real

    Here are my prerdictions of what I’ve seen in passing league:

    1..Arroyo.. 5-0 league, 9-1 overall, top 5 seed in playoffs..solid coach,solid team.

    2..Rosemead.. 4-1 league, 6-4 overall, playoffs..tougher pre-season, solid coach.

    3..S. El Monte.. 3-2 league, 5-5 overall, hope they make playoffs.. they looked pretty tough and enthusiastic this summer (saw them twice) small in size, but quick. Got a funny feeling they’ll be fine.

    4..El Monte.. 2-3 league, 4-6 overall, miss playoffs..I applaud their pre-season choices, mainly Mid-Valley teams. This prediction has the best chance to come back and show me I don’t kmow my shi**

    5..Gabrielino..all I’ve heard is they have a decent team but have to cross that treshold.

    6.. Mountain View.. being a fan of the Wing-T, I wish them the best and yes, you can tell Aram does not favor the Wing-T at all. Aram, how can you say the Wing-T has been exposed, when you pretty much have a new batch of kids that have to defend it, year end, year out? Personally, I believe it’s alot easier to teach than to figure it out defensively.

    Cya in November

  • WOW

    This league is not very good. Arroyo is not a top four seed…come on

    1. Monrovia
    2. Covina/Pomona
    3. Maranatha
    4. Azusa

    1. Monrovia “nuff said”
    2. The winner of the Valley Vista league should be a top 4
    3. Elfers is going to have a monster year, Best in Division
    4.Azusa is going to walk through their schedule. San Dimas is the only road block from 10-0

  • Nate

    Moutain View runs the Markham Double Wing, not the Wing-T. I saw them this summer and I bet they finish 3rd or 4th in the MVL.

  • Joe Torosian Lite

    @ WOW: How you could justify giving the winner of the Montview a top 4 seed and not Arroyo is ridiculous (Have you also forgotten the Almont which consistently produces stronger teams than the Montview). If you look at the last ten 10 years, the MVL has consistently put teams in the Semifinals, and Rosemead was a punt return from winning a CIF title. As for last year, Arroyo lost a tough game to San DImas in the first round, an incredibly tough match-up for a team that had earned a top 4 seed.

    My thoughts:

    1. Arroyo 5-0 League, 9-1 Overall, top 4 seed in playoffs (mainly because of tradition/ I do not believe they are one of the 4 best teams): They have an outstanding coaching staff and a game changer at QB. THe question really lies in their defense. Can Kerkhoff handle an increased offensive role while being the main defensive presence? The same has to be asked of Federico? This team seems to have considerably less depth than years past, but they have Rivera and no one else does.

    2. El Monte 4-1 League, 8-2 Overall, Playoffs: The question with this team is consistency. Can they put an entire game together? An entire season together? Every year it seems they play one outstanding game and than come out and lay an egg. Last season they blew 3 TD lead against LP, failed to score 5 times in red zone versus Wilson, and failed in game winning drive versus Rosemead. All those players return and with that the expectations are they win those games. BP Week 0 will tell the story.

    3. Rosemead 3-2 League, 5-5 Overall, Playoffs: Tough, hard nosed, but no quarterback. Eddy should have plus 1200 yards this season (700+ in wins over Gab, SEM, and Mt.View). Defensively they will attack, cause turnovers, but in years when Rosemead has struggled at QB, they have struggled to win. Week 6 versus El Monte will tell the story.

    4. Gabrielino 2-3 League, 4-6 Overall, No playoffs: Still haven’t recovered from San Gabriel’s run to the finals. Seems that they have been unable to get the same type of athlete since that season. No Omar’s, Winchell’s, Zuniga’s, or Heinrich’s walking through the door. Will keep games close, but not enough players.

    5. Mt. View 1-4 League, 3-7 Overall: Who cares about the offense, the defense is still one of the worst in the entire valley. Look for Rivera, Martinez, and Eddy to be considered for player of the week following game versus the View. Week 1 versus Alhambra will not be pretty and if history says anything, Junkyard James Wilson will have difficulties keeping a full roster come week 8.

    6. SEM 0-5 League, 0-10 Overall: See Mt. View’s defense. They will be improved, and if Coach Aguilar is allowed time, the program will grow, but not this year. Still too much to rebuild. Oh where have you gone Tommy Cogburn? Doesn’t look like any of Arroyo’s big guns will find themselves in the Eagle Nation any time soon.

    That’s my principle.

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