New England 38, N.Y. Giants 30* (According to the nerds)

According to "Madden NFL '08," the guys who made the videogame at EA Sports have reporter that, "based on simulations," the Patriots beat the Giants 38-30.
Read more about it here at this ESPN Video Games site link if you must.
Of the past five years, mind you, EA has predicted the winner of the Super Bowl using its game (maybe not the exact score, but...)
In the EA version, the Patriots had a 17-13 halftime lead, and 24-23 lead late in the third quarter until Tom Brady hooked up with Randy Moss on a 31-yard touchdown pass. Eli Manning then had a pass tipped and intercepted by Asante Samuel in the fourth quarter while the Giants were trying to tie the game. The Patriots ended up scoring on that turnover for a 38-23 lead.
The game stats:
Brady was 29 of 40 for 277 yards, 3 TDs and one interception, while Manning was 27 of 38 for 226 yards, 1 TD and one pick.
Brandon Jacobs ran for 68 yards on 23 carries and one TD for the Giants (Ahmad Bradshaw also scored a TD). Maroney ran for 86 yards on 28 carries and two TDs.
Moss, Welker and Stallworth all had one TD catch, for the Patriots with Moss collecting a team-best 75 yards receiving. Steve Smith had the one Giants TD catch.
The Giants' Lawrence Tynes had three field goals (in four tries).