League predictions? Mark it down, going with West Covina, San Dimas and Azusa

With the Valle Vista, Hacienda and Montview league’s beginning this week, here are my new predictions on how it will unfold.

Hacienda League: Have grown to love the new league because the parity is great across the board with the exception of Los Altos, who in future years will be right there too. But we’re talking about the present, and no way am I not going with West Covina (3-1), fresh off three straight wins over Venice, South Hills and Glendora, all upper-divisional foes. I’m going with Rowland (3-1) and Michael Ball to edge out Bonita (4-1) for second and third respectively. That leaves a fourth-place guaranteed spot, which I’m giving to Diamond Bar (4-0), who will edge out Diamond Ranch and Walnut for that final spot. There is one at-large berth in the Division, and given the fact five teams are ranked in this week’s top ten poll, it’s not a stretch that five teams could make it to the playoff party.

Valle Vista: The only guarantee thus far is that San Dimas (2-2) will do enough to win the league title, though going undefeated will be difficult. Covina (3-1), with its win over West Covina still fresh in the memory banks and with perhaps the best offense, will finish second, thus earning a precious playoff berth, (only two playoff spots are guaranteed in each league in the Mid-Valley Division with four at-large berths overall). Baldwin Park, because it started 0-4, could be in playoff trouble. The Braves need to finish second to guarantee a spot, but absolutely have to finish no worse than third to have any kind of a chance at a playoff spot, which won’t be easy with Wilson (2-1) and Pomona (3-1) much improved. But I still like the Braves to finish third, then I can’t wait for the playoff pairings. Lets say the Braves go 4-2 in the VVL and finish 4-6 overall. Do they get in over a fourth or fifth place Pomona or Wilson, who potentially could have a better overall record? I can’t wait to watch how CIF handles this, because regardless of who finishes third, the VVL should garner at least one of the at-large berths. But the reality is, scheduling easy pays off more than scheduling up.

Montview League: Azusa (3-0) should build on their back-to-back titles and bring a 12-game league winning streak into the Montview, which could very well stretch to 18 come November. Yes, the Aztecs will finish first with La Puente (3-1) a close second over Sierra Vista (3-0). But here’s the real story: Will the Montview get an at-large berth? Assuming Sierra Vista loses to Azusa, La Puente and beats everyone else, they would finish 8-2, and maybe 7-3 at the very worst. Is that good enough for an at-large? Or look at it this way, who does CIF take first, an 8-2 Sierra Vista or a 4-6 Baldwin Park, assuming both finish third in league. Interesting thought, isn’t it? As of now, the Dons are No. 7 and the Braves aren’t anywhere to be found in the Mid-Valley polls.

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  • Question

    Hey Fred doesn’t the Southeast have 15 automatic spots for the playoffs? Doesn’t that mean that they get 1 at-large? So a 4th place team in the Hacienda could make it in still right?

  • FredJ

    You’re absolutely right, I adjusted, there are four guaranteed berths in the Hacienda, with one at-large in the divison.

  • Aaron

    Fred, Bonita is 4-0!

    It’s already a given that a defense can get after Michael Ball. Rowland’s O-line gave up seven sacks to Claremont.

    Bonita 42 Claremont 20
    Bonita 29 Baldwin Park 0

    Rowland 35 Baldwin Park 29
    Claremont 24 Rowland 21

    Based off of common opponents Rowland is not the team you want to pick for second. Bonita has a rock solid and aggressive defense.

    Oh and GP is coming back and the offensive line should be at full strength against Diamond Bar.

  • Walnut Insider

    I would go Hacienda League

    1. West Covina
    2. Bonita
    3. Rowland
    4. Diamond Bar/Diamond Ranch (comes down to this week)
    6. Walnut
    7. Los Altos

    I could see Walnut ending up 5th, but their defense has too many holes right now to hang with most of the offense’s in the league. Like I said earlier, hopefully they can fix them by the time some of the more winnable games come around. That doesn’t mean I am conceding a West Covina win, WC has shown in recent years they have trouble closing out games.

  • Bobby Knight

    The Hacienda should be a wild and wooly fight. While my heart is in La Verne any one of the teams could come out swinging and finish strong.The Southeast ring is hardly an automatic for W.C. La Mirada, Norwalk.and Mayfair played hellacious pre season schedules and accounted for themselves admirably. Facing any one of these guys in the first round is no picnic. The Del Rio will have solid forces with Santa Fe, La Serna and E.R. is making noise. I don’t see the Pacific putting up much of a fight except perhaps Burbank.I do not see any team from the Hacienda finishing league unscathed.With so much parity in the league coaching and discipline will make all the diffrence and as much as I admire Podley the team lacks respect for the staff and each other.Personal fouls will kill them without Horine on the field to lead. Right now I give the nod to W.C. and D.R.

  • Bobby Bulldog

    Back on the WC Bandwagon Freddy J ?

    I say this because you wrote “fresh off three straight wins over Venice, South Hills and Glendora”. You picked the Bulldogs to lose in every single one of those games.

    Woof! Woof! Oh sorry… that was Dawg talk for, where are all the South Hills fans? (that includes your boy “The Guru” Fred!).

  • Bones

    Uh, Fred…. Dont count out Covina just yet..they just may co-op the VVL with the Saints… still too early in the season. Covina’s win over WesCov is nice, as was the Saints W over Mtown, but when they face each other and the rest of the VVL, it may be interesting… we shall soon see.

  • kg

    Mark my words, Covina will pound San Dimas this year. Payback is a bi*ch Z!!!

  • PL

    “I don’t see the Pacific putting up much of a fight except perhaps Burbank.”

    Mr. Knight are you serious? Muir? Burroughs? They’ve got just as much a chance as anyone in this division to get to the semis.

  • the critic

    mr. knight……
    are u serious u say burbank only out of the pacific league well when muir blow them out this friday night then what will u say and believe me there is only one team in my opinion that can give muir a run for there money in the southeast division and that rowland heights there the only team that might give them a rub the rest will be easy and simple just stop the run lol…..which muir has not done yet this year…lol….but also i think burroughs will to watch out for them this year also there will be a pacific league team in the championship this year….

  • D Real Deal

    CIF is a joke. I mean really talk about screwing over a division (mid-valley). A six league division almost as stupid as “week ZERO.” how many divisions in CIF have leagues sending 30% to the playoffs and in regards to the montview (8 team league) 20% if only 2 teams make it. Montview and Rio Hondo in this division has gotten screwed for the last decade and a half. These two leagues through the late 90′s and up until 2005 Played the likes of Lompoc, Paso Robles, Serra, Inglewood, North Torrance, South Torrance, Culver City, and Crespi. Yes Pac-5 Crespi beat Gladstone 14-0 in 2002. Now they make a SGV competative division (Montview, Rio Hondo, Mission Valley, Valle Vista, (would’ve been perfect at that),and Olympic. then they go and screw that up by allowing the Almont in and make it a six league division idiotic.

    Now would the Hacienda, Bishop Amat, Charter Oak, South Hills, or Glendora ever be put in this kind of situation?

  • Aaron

    People actually like the structure of the Mid Valley because it is tougher to make it to the playoffs.

    And Muir can’t stay healthy that’s why he’s discounting them.

  • Bobbie Knight

    My Pacific League Brethren. I meant no disrespect to your fine teams but you must admit your leagues soft pre season schedules left you suspect. The hope over here in the SG Valley is that they get to play one of your teams in the first round. If this gives you bulletin board fodder so be it and prove me wrong but my guess is your teams are way over their heads in this division.

  • The Mid

    KG… your are an idiot. Stick with Freshman ball. We will get our 40 this year. FYI…nice haircut dude.

  • the critic

    bobby knight:
    are u saying that the pacific league is in over there head in the southeast division, i truly hope not to be honest the southeast division is kind of weak just look how charter oak was able to run its course in that division without a team even putting up a fight with them except last year muir team that was 4-6 going into that game. but i can almost guarantee u that a pacific league team will be in the championship this year and most likely it’ll be muir or burbank possibly burroughs. but the southeast division reminds me of the big 10 in college football, to basic its like watching pop warner football without a weight limit the pacific league teams and rowland heights should leave the southeast even though they havent accomplished anything in the division. and i also think that monrovia should be in the pacific league where they will atleast be challenge week after week and see different schemes of offense instead of your basic offense.

  • PL

    That’s kind of funny, because the hope in the Pacific is that we can’t wait to play the average teams in the Southeast Division. Bonita and West Covina are the only teams out there that will pose any problems. Really, who else is there? We would love to face Rowland, Diamond Ranch, or Walnut in the 1st round. You have got to be joking right?

  • SGV For 30 Years

    Not so fast Aaron,

    The word on the street is that Claremont basically handed the game to Bonita. Don’t get me wrong, I said earlier that Bonita has been impressive. But they are by no means a shoe in for second place in league. I’m interested to see how they play against a physical team that wants to pound you. In the past that style has given Bonita trouble. The only thing I think is clear about the Hacienda League is who will be at the top and who will be at the bottom. The rest could potentially be a jumbled up mess. The team I think is the most overrated team in the league is Diamond Bar. They had to pull the game against Brea out at the end, and I think the only team in the league Wilson could beat is Loss Altos. I do think it’s going to come down to the last week of the season to determine who goes to the Play-offs.

    Insider you have some valid concerns about Walnut. I do believe they are better than Diamond Bar. Infact Diamond Ranch could almost put Diamond Bar in a desparate position if they win this week (and visa versa) I think it may come down to which of the teams can get their players in play-off mode in the middle of October. Those games will be play-off games for Bonita, Walnut, Diamond Bar, and Diamond Ranch. I think this will be one of the most exciting leagues around to watch

    SGV340 Outtt!!!

  • RED DEVIL PARENT

    FRED,

    Why do you keep saying that Pomona is much more improved than last year. Is it because they blew out Ganesha because if thats the case Pomona has been blowing out ganesha this is nothing new. pomona is 3-1 right now with baldwin park, san dimas, northview, covina, wilson, nogalas… dont know correct order but they could finish the season 3-7 or 4-6 if they beat nogalas.. THEN WE CAN SENT RICE AND HIS STAFF BACK TO COLONY..AND BRING IN SOME COACHES THAT BLEED AND BLACK….

  • Don

    sgvfty,

    Claremont gave away the Bonita game huh? What street is that word from, Indian Hill? Sorry but losing by 22 points is more properly characterized as getting flattened. You know, like the wolfies did three weeks ago. And if you were waiting to see how BoHi faired against a physical team wanting to pound them you need look no further than the Santa Fe game. There may be more physical teams in the SE than Santa Fe: Norwalk, West Covina maybe, or even Bonita themselves, but that’s about it. If you don’t believe it, come see the Chiefs play C O tomorrow, I’ll be there. I make the Chargers a two TD favorite, but there will be no end to the swell collisions on the field.

    Now there does seem to be some disagreement about who won the S F Bonita contest; Campa and the big guy from the Mid Valley both think the Chiefs did. I know better because I saw it. Hell, I even challenged Campa to a Rubi’s lunch but he was busy I guess.

    Don’t get me wrong, I have no gripes about the coverage, I love how Bearcats fly under the radar.

    Just like last year’s baseball team, this year’s football team just wins. And just like last year’s baseball team, the guys seem oblivious to coverage or lack of it from Fred or anyone else. They are, very much about being a team and covering each others backs.

  • Midnight rambler

    To The mid

    With all the extra practices that San Dimas is getting-Sundays, and evenings during the heat restrictions, they should get 40. After all, the rest of the league is following some weird rules that Coach Zit doesnt have to follow for some reason.

  • Colt74

    Fred wrote:

    “The only guarantee thus far is that San Dimas (2-2) will do enough to win the league title, though going undefeated will be difficult. Covina (3-1), with its win over West Covina still fresh in the memory banks and with perhaps the best offense, will finish second, thus earning a precious playoff berth,…”

    I was reading this and something just didn’t seem right. I rearranged it some and think I found where your mistake was ( IMHO ). Hope you like my corrected version.

    The only scenario that makes sense thus far is that Covina (3-1 ) with it’s win over West Covina still fresh in the memory banks and with perhaps the best offense, will win the league title. San Dimas (2-2 )will do enough to finish second, thus earning a precious playoff berth.

    Have a good one Fred!

  • OBSERVER

    Wow! Some of you bloggers have no class!Don’t you have anything better to do then waste energy on being sarcastic to one another? Remember, it’s all about the kids. You guys should grow up! Just enjoy the sport.

  • midnight rambler

    Gotta better idea Observer- Why dont you post something related to prep football instead of chiding other posters?

  • kh

    sgv.
    your kidding right about the bearcats,
    we are for real.
    clairmont ran straight into a wall asks s.d.
    whos better.
    dont for get casey h was hurt at half,
    k.c. didnt play 4 minutes left in second quarter and the whole 3 or 4 th part of that game dude. so both lb where out thats the only reason the score even looked close,get a life,are d-fense is the fastest and best in the state of calif. casey h would of made us one of the best in the country.come watch d-bar get rolled my friend,and casey h. was walking alot better today and 6-5 qb is back…..
    cif rings will come thru bonita this year..

  • http://rfvrfvrfv bearcat fan

    Kh
    dont get to crazy there with that dfense there a good dfense but in no means are they the best in the state theyve given up 52 points imagine if they were to play a oaks christain or de la selle that dfense would be in trouble but i do think bonita has one of the top dfenses in the valley

  • omg

    Just to let you people know, Coach Z does not practice on Sundays. Get your info correct before you try and speak (or write in this case). And as for night practice, I don’t know any rules that state that night practice is not allowed. Maybe they other coaches should think about their kids in all this heat, like coach Z does.

  • observer

    Hey “midnight ramble on”

    Don’t take it personal, I guess the truth hurts!

    I too will attest that San Dimas does not practice on Sundays. Why do people make this stuff up?

  • perspective

    Is BHS for real? league games will determine, KH’s support for his kid and school comes from the heart it plain and great to see, tough for some to read at times. QB plan is tough to call, build up on the big kid is nuts, and talk about a frosh Qb even more nuts, give that a rest and let em play and have fun. The big guy is untested but promising, he did not start much last year,season was mixed at best, dnp as soph and did not start as a frosh till the starter broke hand, then shared time. Add in the injury to an explosive reciever, who put it down CHS throat, it comes back to a tough league. Bonita defense is for real and the backbone and the story to the season so far. Rings? Playoffs seem possible, one day-game at a time

  • ST G54

    Agree only slightly with these predictions..

  • BH$ Fan

    Just to clarify, your article is incorrect. Bonita is currently 4-0, not 4-1. Just sayin.

  • kh

    yes, maybe a little carried away.
    so what.
    in the state theirs plenty of bigger and better d-s.
    OK in div.3 we would hold our own,
    Fred 4-0 not 4-1 we will never be 4-1 after this week booty bashes were about to put on d-bar.see how strength of opponent holds its own.d=bar played nobody and boy did it show last Friday.
    FRED stop all the negative mind thinking get on the wagon brother,we are here to stay and some d-bar players will be feeling the hurt come sat. morning,full throttle is how the d rolls,we take no prisoners,
    tomorrow is my 1 year sober party,and look how things have gotten better at the huths house hold.so far in the one k.c. and teammates are 25-5 in baseball missing the ring 2-1 championship game how in football 4-o
    so at bohi high the boys are 29-5 on my road to happiest,can you say that from your house hold.
    have a great bearcat day kh out

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