Scouting Guru corrects himself on Inland Bracketology, then takes a shot at forecasting Southeast … Mid-Valley on Thursday

The Scouting Guru has been all over the San Gabriel Valley and beyond, and like always, he’s offered to share his thoughts, free of charge. Don’t hate, enjoy it for what it’s worth, which is one man’s opinion on the talent in the San Gabriel Valley. Today the Guru talks Bracketology. The Guru shared this with us last year and was pretty darn close.

Guru says: Today we will take a look at the Southwest Division and break it down. But first, I have to admit, I made a mistake yesterday when I projected the Inland Division. One of the bloggers was absolutely correct. You can’t seed two teams in the same league in the same bracket. It’s my fault… maybe I have been hanging around the San Fernando Valley too much. (To continue, click thread)


Now, I feel that Corona Roosevelt is one of the top 5 teams in the Inalnd Division. Regardless if they come up short against Centennial Friday night, (especially if its a close and competitive game), I think they are one of the top four teams in the division. Not only does the computer think so, but so do a lot of the coaches in the IE.

What makes this easy also is that since Chino Hills is ranked fifth – unless Damien defeats Claremont Friday night, the Huskes can’t be seeded. Claremont is the top team in the Sierra League and is the only team that can be considered for a divisional seed. And since the committee will not look too favorably at Redlands East Valley’s loss to Chino Hils in the pre-season, it’s very easy to come away with the conclusion that Roosevelt will be one of the top four divisional seeds.

So here is a revised look at the projected brackets. And since some of you can’t read a bracket and probably need Dom Farrar’s remedial 8th grade english class – I will distinguish the top bracket from the bottom bracket.

INLAND DIVISION
TOP BRACKET

(1) Corona Centennial (Big 8 – 1)
Great Oak (Southwestern – 3)

Redlands East Valley (Citrus Belt – 1)
Etiwanda (Baseline – 3)

Chino Hills (Sierra – 2)
Murrieta Valley (Southwestern – 2)

(4) Rancho Cucamonga (Baseline – 3)
Norco (Big 8 – 3)

BOTTOM BRACKET
(3) Corona Roosevelt (Big 8 – 2)
Upland (Baseline – 2)

AB Miller (Citrus Belt – 2)
Charter Oak (Sierra – 3)

Claremont (Sierra – 1)
Redlands (Citrus Belt – 3)

(2) Vista Murrieta (Southwestern – 2)
Fourth Place Finisher in Big 8

SOUTHEAST DIVISION

16 Entrees
Hacienda – 4
Pacific – 4
Suburban – 4
Del Rio – 3
At Large Birth – 1
At-Large Birth Candidates
Diamond Bar 6-3
El Rancho 5-4
Bellflower 5-5

At-Large Birth Analysis: Folks, it’s razor close. First off, none of the three teams have played each other. So the one part of the critieria will not be used. Diamond Bar gets two points for League Strength and better overall record… for right now. If El Rancho wins Friday night and Diamond Bar loses (which is what calpreps.com) projects, both teams will have the same record, thus that part of the criteria will not be used. What it will come down is two criteria 1) record of opponents that the teams have played and 2) Strength of common opponents. Let’s take a look at the first point… Here are the records of the opponents that Diamond Bar and El Rancho have played this year..

Diamond Bar 33-49
El Rancho 32-49

So the results from all the action if week 10 will have a direct impact on what happens here. If Diamond Bar wins out in this criteria. game over, they are the at-large team. If El Rancho has the most wins, then it will come down to strength of common opponents. And let me add this, if Muir happens to lose in the Turkey Tussle Friday night at the Rose Bowl., then they have every right to go for an at-large birth — and they would most likely get it. So El Rancho has to hope that they win Friday and Muir wins (which would give them the fourth place and final automatic borth from the Pacific League for the playoffs) for them to have a real realistic shot and getting an at-large berth. Like I said folks, it’s razor close. With that being said, (for the time being) let’s say that Diamond Bar gets the at-large. Here is what the brackets might look like….

TOP BRACKET
(1) West Covina (Hacienda – 1)
California (Del Rio – 3)

Arcadia (Pacific – 2)
Cerritos (Subruban – 4)

Santa Fe (Del Rio – 2)
Walnut (Hacienda – 4)

(4) La Mirada (Suburban – 1)
Burbank (Pacific – 3)

BOTTOM BRACKET
(3) Bonita (Hacienda – 2)
Mayfair (Suburban – 2)

Burroughs (Pacific – 1)
Norwalk (Suburban – 3)

Diamond Ranch (Hacienda – 3)
Muir (Pacific – 4)

(2) La Serna (Del Rio – 1)
Diamond Bar (Hacienda – 5)

Tomorrow a look at the crazy world that is the Mid Valley Division.

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  • Look like Cap Preps

    Guru are you taking creadit again?

    Just like when you use scout and rivals info for recuruting expertise?

  • Norco

    He only corrects himself after he was made a fool of……

  • The Stang Fan

    The SE bracket you’ve drawn up is assuming that Burroughs, Bonita, and Muir win this week. The interesting thing is that Burroughs is playing for 1st or 4th place in league. If Burbank and Muir win, Muir is 3rd and Burroughs is 4th in the Pacific.

    If DR beats Bonita than the seeding for the 1st 4 seeds gets really interesting.

    Bottom line is, it would behoove us all to wait till Friday to see who’ll be placed where. It is a good early shot at it though. We’ll see how it measures up on Sunday.

  • RCcougars

    That bracket is no good, for one RC is the Baseline #1 and ranked 3rd in the inland valley. ROosevelt will be a second place team and will not get the 3 seed with 2 losses and a second place finish. RC will be the #3 seed. REV will be the #4 seed. You are not even close, but good try..Gives us something to talk about.

  • elrancho

    The one common opponent is Los Altos, ER 41 LA 0, DB 35 LA 6…..

  • IE FB Fan

    Where did all of the other posts go? I guess the guru couldn’t handle the heat of the truth…..so he just erased all the posts. Is that unbiased journalism???? I think not

  • to el rancho

    thats basicly a push…..

    El Rancho 21 Cal High 24

    Cal High 9 Rowland 41

    Rowland 33 Diamond Bar 46

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