The next question in the cycle: Is UCLA’s offense so historically good, it can overcome deficiencies on defense this significant?
With just four games left in the regular season, beginning with tonight’s contest at Arizona State, the No. 5 Bruins have sustained some offensive numbers that require a deep dive into the archives for comparison.
READ: No. 5 UCLA to test defensive progress against Arizona State’s firepower
UCLA’s nation-leading field goal percentage (53.3%) is a mark that hasn’t been achieved since Duke’s 1992 national championship team shot 53.6 percent for the season. That was a Grant Hill-Christian Laettner-Bobby Hurley team making its third straight appearance in the national championship game. Pretty good company.
UCLA’s nation-leading 21.7 assists per game is the highest number in college basketball since 1991, when UNLV set the Division-I record with 24.7 on its way to the Final Four. That was Jerry Tarkanian’s Runnin’ Rebels squad featuring Larry Johnson, Greg Anthony and Stacey Augmon, all of whom went in the top 12 picks of the NBA draft later that year.
In relation to the field it will face in this season’s NCAA tournament, UCLA remains No. 1 in the country in scoring offense (92.3) and assist-to-turnover ratio (1.8) and No. 2 in 3-point field goal percentage (42.1%).
Those offensive numbers, however, seemingly need to be historically special considering what UCLA must overcome.
No team in the last five years has reached the Final Four with a kenpom.com adjusted defensive efficiency that ranks worse than 39th. The most telling statistic in the recent history of the NCAA tournament measures the number of points allowed per 100 possessions, adjusted for the strength of the opponent. Going back 10 years, the worst rating in the category for a Final Four team was 88th.
Even after its noted defensive progress during the current five-game winning streak, UCLA ranks 117th. It is the only team in the AP top 25 with an adjusted defensive efficiency worse than 65th.
Every national championship team in the last 15 years has finished in the top 25 in Ken Pomroy’s defensive efficiency ratings. UCLA, however, is doing things on the offensive end to which there is no comparison during that span.