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    <title>Kevin Modesti&apos;s Words &amp; Numbers</title>
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    <updated>2007-06-01T23:07:42Z</updated>
    
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<entry>
    <title>Beckham whets L.A.&apos;s appetite</title>
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    <id>tag:www.insidesocal.com,2007:/wordsandnumbers//66.17921</id>
    
    <published>2007-06-01T22:41:43Z</published>
    <updated>2007-06-01T23:07:42Z</updated>
    
    <summary>David Beckham returned to his national team today at the new Wembley Stadium and set up the go-ahead goal for England before a last-minute strike tied the friendly match for Brazil. It was a reminder that there are few things...</summary>
    <author>
        <name>Kevin Modesti</name>
        
    </author>
    
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        <![CDATA[<p>David Beckham returned to his national team today at the new Wembley Stadium and set up the go-ahead goal for England before a last-minute strike tied the friendly match for Brazil.</p>

<p>It was a reminder that there are few things in sports that create edge-of-the-seat anticipation like a Beckham free kick -- and it was a preview of local coming attractions by the international star due to join the Los Angeles Galaxy in mid-July. Beckham's 68th-minute free kick from 30 yards out on the right side found John Terry's head at the left post and the England captain nodded it home. It was the last of about half a dozen times that he lined up for a dangerous free kick and the Fox Soccer Channel's British announcer said a variation of, "This could be the moment for David Beckham!"</p>

<p>The Guardian's minute-by-minute blogger called it a 7.5-out-of-10 performance and said Beckham was "England's best player by some distance," meaning best in this game. In case you think the Galaxy is getting an out-of-shape oldtimer, Beckham looked very fit today. Now, if the Galaxy can merely get somebody like John Terry to run on to the end of Becks' kicks.</p>]]>
        
    </content>
</entry>
<entry>
    <title>Horse racing&apos;s Cambianica is dead at 79</title>
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    <link rel="service.edit" type="application/atom+xml" href="http://www.insidesocal.com/MT/mt-atom.cgi/weblog/blog_id=66/entry_id=15785" title="Horse racing's Cambianica is dead at 79" />
    <id>tag:www.insidesocal.com,2007:/wordsandnumbers//66.15785</id>
    
    <published>2007-04-22T22:34:23Z</published>
    <updated>2007-04-23T03:13:05Z</updated>
    
    <summary>Fermo Cambianica was beginning his rounds at Santa Anita one day last month, handing out his selections to friends throughout the grandstand, when he collapsed near the ground-floor food court. At first the 79-year-old handicapper refused a ride to the...</summary>
    <author>
        <name>Kevin Modesti</name>
        
    </author>
    
    <content type="html" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://www.insidesocal.com/wordsandnumbers/">
        <![CDATA[<p><strong>Fermo Cambianica</strong> was beginning his rounds at Santa Anita one day last month, handing out his selections to friends throughout the grandstand, when he collapsed near the ground-floor food court. At first the 79-year-old handicapper refused a ride to the hospital across the parking lot from the racetrack. Then friends explained he wouldn't be allowed to go back to work in the press box until a doctor looked him over.</p>

<p>That was persuasive to a man who had gone to work in the local racetrack press boxes practically every day since 1955.</p>

<p>Cambianica died Saturday night at Arcadia Convalescent Center after a brief battle with cancer. His last visit to Santa Anita had been Wednesday, when the fifth race was named in his honor. He had announced plans to retire closing day of the Santa Anita season, which was Sunday.</p>]]>
        <![CDATA[<p>A one-time Long Beach State basketball player and competitive ballroom dancer, Cambianica had been publicity director at Los Alamitos racetrack and served as a mutuel clerk for years, but was best known as a newspaper handicapper and turf writer for the Long Beach Press-Telegram (and, earlier, the Monrovia Citizen). For the past few months, Cambianica's picks appeared in consensus boxes throughout the Los Angeles Newspaper Group chain.</p>

<p>In the Santa Anita press box, where lately he was a virtually year-round fixture, he was beloved for his gentle sarcasm and his helpfulness. Colleagues never did figure out his penchant for sizeable place bets.</p>

<p>"Fermo has always been admired by his peers for his dedication, loyalty, friendship, sense of humor and willingness to help," racecaller <strong>Trevor Denman</strong> told the Santa Anita crowd Wednesday after the event named for Cambianica.</p>

<p>Though he pronounced his first name "Fairmo," friends generally said it simply as "Firmo." Invariably, as Denman announced that "the main track is fast and the turf course is firm," somebody in the press box would call out, ". . . and the turf course is <em>Cambianica</em>."</p>

<p>The first time I saw Fermo Cambianica, at Hollywood Park in the mid-1980s, I sized up the stoutly built man as a fearsome operator not to be messed with. Then I heard his distinctively squeaky voice and got to know him, and realized he was the gentlest guy in the box.</p>

<p>Handicapper <strong>Bob Ike </strong>knew Fermo for more than 20 years.</p>

<p>"But I don't remember the first time I met him," Ike said Sunday. "He was just <em>always here</em>."</p>

<p>Cambianica is survived by two brothers. No services are planned, but the local tracks should find a race to name in his memory for eternity.</p>

<p><em>An update, Sunday evening:</em> During Cambianica's hospitalization, other handicappers helped out by making picks for him. The final selections under his byline appeared in Sunday's papers. On the 10-race card at Santa Anita, he had seven winners.</p>]]>
    </content>
</entry>
<entry>
    <title>Power outage is a message from above</title>
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    <id>tag:www.insidesocal.com,2007:/wordsandnumbers//66.15218</id>
    
    <published>2007-04-12T23:27:40Z</published>
    <updated>2007-04-13T00:04:08Z</updated>
    
    <summary>I&apos;m not here to report on the specifics of this afternoon&apos;s power outage in Woodland Hills (and elsewhere?), only to speculate on its cause. Kurt Vonnegut did it....</summary>
    <author>
        <name>Kevin Modesti</name>
        
    </author>
    
    <content type="html" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://www.insidesocal.com/wordsandnumbers/">
        <![CDATA[<p>I'm not here to report on the specifics of this afternoon's power outage in Woodland Hills (and elsewhere?), only to speculate on its cause.</p>

<p><strong>Kurt Vonnegut</strong> did it.</p>]]>
        <![CDATA[<p>In the shopping center at Ventura and Topanga Canyon about lunchtime Thursday, all of the restaurants and stores had hand-lettered signs on their doors, each reading something like "Sorry -- Closed Due to Power Failure."</p>

<p>I was walking past Vons, where an employee stood in the doorway. I asked why every store had to close if there was no electricity. I mean, I could understand a restaurant being out of commission if it couldn't heat food. I could understand a grocer's trouble selling ice cream if it's half-melted. But what's the problem at the video store (the comedy shelf was going to spoil?), the baseball-card shop or the karate studio?</p>

<p>"We can't ring up sales," the Vons woman said, without computers.</p>

<p>"Just write down what you've sold and punch it in later," I said.</p>

<p>A man in a manager's tie appeared in the store's semi-darkness.</p>

<p>"We're not going to do<em> that</em>," he said of my pen-and-paper idea.</p>

<p>"Besides," he said, "we'd be worried about safety."</p>

<p>OK, there would be dark corners in a big grocery store. But what would be so dangerous in the smaller stores?</p>

<p>"There'd be liability issues," the manager said. "The lawyers would be first in line."</p>

<p>There was a quote from Kurt Vonnegut with one of the obituaries Thursday morning:<br />
<blockquote>"The main business of humanity is to do a good job of being human beings, not to serve as appendages to machines, institutions and systems."</blockquote><br />
The way I figure it, the first thing Vonnegut did when he got upstairs Wednesday night was arrange for the windstorm that presumably caused the electricity to go out in the West San Fernando Valley.</p>

<p>The power went out and all the human beings in one big shopping center in one little corner of the globe became useless appendages to machines, etc.</p>

<p>So thanks for the practical lesson in the pitfalls of progress.</p>

<p>Now, when is Fatburger open again?<br />
</p>]]>
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</entry>
<entry>
    <title>California&apos;s Derby horses line up</title>
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    <published>2007-04-04T19:47:35Z</published>
    <updated>2007-04-04T19:52:36Z</updated>
    
    <summary>Liquidity was made a 5-2 favorite after a 10-horse field was set this morning for Saturday’s $750,000 Santa Anita Derby at Santa Anita Park in Arcadia. The horses are listed below in post-position order, with jockeys and morning-line odds; each...</summary>
    <author>
        <name>Kevin Modesti</name>
        
    </author>
    
    <content type="html" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://www.insidesocal.com/wordsandnumbers/">
        <![CDATA[<p>Liquidity was made a 5-2 favorite after a 10-horse field was set this morning for Saturday’s $750,000 Santa Anita Derby at Santa Anita Park in Arcadia. The horses are listed below in post-position order, with jockeys and morning-line odds; each is assigned 122 pounds. The 1 1/8-mile race is the West Coast’s major prep for the May 5 Kentucky Derby.</p>]]>
        <![CDATA[<p>1. Court the King, Jose Valdivia, 20-1<br />
<em>More was expected of the gelding when he ran 4th to Bwana Bull at Bay Meadows </em><br />
2. Sam P., Ramon Dominguez, 4-1<br />
<em>Todd Pletcher-trained grandson of Affirmed was 2nd in Lewis to Great Hunter</em><br />
3. Bwana Bull, Russell Baze, 8-1<br />
<em>Jerry Hollendorfer-trained Holy Bull offspring dominated 3-year-olds in Bay Area</em><br />
4. Boutrous, Kent Desormeaux, 12-1<br />
<em>Son of Tiznow was outrun by Bwana Bull at Golden Gate and Sam P. in the Lewis</em><br />
5. Liquidity, Corey Nakatani, 5-2<br />
<em>Before fade in La. Derby, Doug O’Neill trainee by Tiznow pushed Stormello, Ravel</em><br />
6. Black Seventeen, Clinton Potts, 15-1<br />
<em>Front-running speed gives Florida-bred a puncher’s chance in first try at two turns</em><br />
7. Level Red, Aaron Gryder, 5-1<br />
<em>A well-beaten 3rd to Cobalt Blue in the San Felipe, he’ll be close to the pace</em><br />
8. King of the Roxy, Richard Migliore, 3-1<br />
<em>If they ran Derbies at 7 furlongs, Todd Pletcher’s Hutcheson winner would be a star</em><br />
9. Tiago, Mike Smith, 20-1<br />
Giacomo team (John Shirreffs trains, Mosses own) reassembles with his half-brother<br />
10. Medici Code, Jorge Chavez, 30-1<br />
<em>Mystery gelding’s romps in England can be viewed at the website attheraces.com</em></p>]]>
    </content>
</entry>
<entry>
    <title>Lava Man is California&apos;s horse -- not Dubai&apos;s</title>
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    <published>2007-03-31T21:21:48Z</published>
    <updated>2007-03-31T21:50:45Z</updated>
    
    <summary>Lava Man had to win the $3 million race called the Dubai Duty Free in the United Arab Emirates on Saturday to vindicate his owners&apos; decision to send California&apos;s most popular thoroughbred halfway around the globe and put at risk...</summary>
    <author>
        <name>Kevin Modesti</name>
        
    </author>
    
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        <![CDATA[<p><strong>Lava Man</strong> had to win the $3 million race called the Dubai Duty Free in the United Arab Emirates on Saturday to vindicate his owners' decision to send California's most popular thoroughbred halfway around the globe and put at risk a potentially historic campaign at home.</p>

<p>But after dueling for the lead for most of the race, Lava Man threw in the towel at the top of the long stretch on the Nad al Sheba turf course and finished 16th and last behind winner <strong>Admire Moon</strong>.</p>

<p>Said jockey <strong>Corey Nakatani</strong>: "With about 3 1/2 furlongs left to run he said, ‘I’ve had enough,’ and that is just not him. It is disappointing.”</p>

<p>Instead of winning for the first time outside of California, Lava Man ran -- if you call that running -- his out-of-state mark to 0-5.</p>

<p>Worst of all, he caved in against top-class horses, following his pattern on the road, where he has never been better than seventh.</p>

<p>So, actually, on his worst days, Lava Man has said "I've had enough" before.</p>

<p>Meanwhile, in California, the 6-year-old gelding trained by <strong>Doug O'Neill </strong>has won nine races in a row, including two Santa Anita Handicaps, his second Hollywood Gold Cup and a Pacific Classic.</p>

<p>The arduous trip to the rich race in Dubai could require a several-months recovery and cost Lava Man a shot at a record-tying third straight Hollywood Gold Cup in June.</p>

<p>In the biggest race on the Dubai card, 2006 Horse of the Year <strong>Invasor</strong> (<strong>Fernando Jara</strong> riding) pulled away from <strong>Premium Tap</strong> to win the $6 million Dubai World Cup. <strong>Discreet Cat</strong>, expected to challenge Invasor, finished last for his first defeat.</p>

<p>O'Neill did win earlier with <strong>Spring at Last</strong> (<strong>Garrett Gomez</strong>) in the $1 million Godolphin Mile. But that's little consolation for Lava Man's flop.<br />
</p>]]>
        
    </content>
</entry>
<entry>
    <title>Ranking the Derby contenders (updated)</title>
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    <link rel="service.edit" type="application/atom+xml" href="http://www.insidesocal.com/MT/mt-atom.cgi/weblog/blog_id=66/entry_id=12540" title="Ranking the Derby contenders (updated)" />
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    <published>2007-03-04T00:48:06Z</published>
    <updated>2007-03-04T01:01:11Z</updated>
    
    <summary>Below is my top-20 ranking of horses aiming for the May 5 Kentucky Derby after three significant preps on Saturday -- Great Hunter won the Robert B. Lewis Stakes at Santa Anita, Scat Daddy the Fountain of Youth and King...</summary>
    <author>
        <name>Kevin Modesti</name>
        
    </author>
    
    <content type="html" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://www.insidesocal.com/wordsandnumbers/">
        <![CDATA[<p>Below is my top-20 ranking of horses aiming for  the May 5 Kentucky Derby after three significant preps on Saturday -- <strong>Great Hunter</strong> won the Robert B. Lewis Stakes at Santa Anita, <strong>Scat Daddy</strong> the Fountain of Youth and <strong>King of the Roxy</strong> the Hutcheson at Gulfstream Park. I'm one of eight weekly contributors to the Louisville Courier-Journal's Derby rankings. The entire Courier-Journal poll can be found by clicking <a href="http://www.courier-journal.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20070225/SPORTS08/302250008/1037">here</a>.<br />
</p>]]>
        <![CDATA[<p>My top 10 (new comments in <em>italics</em>):<br />
1. <strong>Street Sense</strong><br />
<em>2-year-old champ regains No. 1 by default after Nobiz’s loss in Fountain of Youth</em><br />
2. <strong>Ravel</strong><br />
Best of trainer <strong>Todd Pletcher's</strong> bunch could go in March 17 San Felipe at Santa Anita<br />
3. <strong>Scat Daddy</strong><br />
<em>Another Pletcher, he moves way after bouncing back and winning the Fountain</em> <br />
4. <strong>Any Given Saturday</strong><br />
<em>Another </em>Pletcher, he's starting the season against soft Tampa Bay competition <br />
5. <strong>Stormello</strong><br />
<em>Missed by inches after leading the Fountain, vindicating trainer’s choice to ship</em><br />
6. <strong>Great Hunter</strong><br />
<em>Best of the <strong>Doug O’Neill</strong>-trained, <strong>J. Paul Reddam</strong>-owned trio won Saturday’s Lewis</em><br />
7. <strong>Nobiz Like Shobiz</strong><br />
<em>Erratic third in the Fountain of Youth takes the sheen off the recent favorite</em><br />
8. <strong>Circular Quay</strong><br />
More Pletcher: BC runnerup's recent loss in La. (with big excuse) was third in a row<br />
9. <strong>Liquidity</strong><br />
O'Neill-trained (like No. 8); led but finished second to Stormello, Ravel in last two<br />
10. <strong>Notional</strong><br />
More O'Neill: Risen Star win was seen nationally as Circular Quay's hard-luck loss<br />
	<br />
My second 10:<br />
10. <strong>Summer Doldrums</strong>; 11. <strong>Hard Spun</strong>; 12. <strong>Adore the Gold</strong>; 13. <strong>King of the Roxy</strong>; 14. <strong>E Z Warrior</strong>; 15. <strong>Sam P.; </strong>16. <strong>Adore the Gold</strong>; 17. <strong>Horse Greeley</strong>; 18. <strong>Belgravia</strong>; 19. <strong>Teuflesberg</strong>; 20. <strong>Drums of Thunder</strong>.</p>]]>
    </content>
</entry>
<entry>
    <title>Lava Man&apos;s top rival drops out</title>
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    <published>2007-03-03T18:44:40Z</published>
    <updated>2007-03-03T19:03:09Z</updated>
    
    <summary>Arson Squad had been scratched from today&apos;s $1 million Santa Anita Handicap, unconfirmed reports saying the Strub Stakes winner has a foot problem. The change has historical ramifications....</summary>
    <author>
        <name>Kevin Modesti</name>
        
    </author>
    
    <content type="html" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://www.insidesocal.com/wordsandnumbers/">
        <![CDATA[<p><strong>Arson Squad</strong> had been scratched from today's $1 million Santa Anita Handicap, unconfirmed reports saying the Strub Stakes winner has a foot problem. The change has historical ramifications.</p>]]>
        <![CDATA[<p>Arson Squad -- leading jockey <strong>Garrett Gomez's</strong> scheduled mount -- was my second choice in the race, the 9-2 second choice on the original morning line, and the 117-pound second highweight. <strong>Lava Man</strong> is <a href="http://www.insidesocal.com/wordsandnumbers/2007/03/my_santa_anita_handicap_picks.html#more">my pick to win</a>, 4-5 in the program, and assigned 124.</p>

<p>Now the second highweight belongs to <strong>Awesome Gem, Ball Four</strong> and <strong>Molengao</strong>, each with 116 pounds.</p>

<p>Here's the historical part: Lava Man becomes the first highweight to give away as many as eight pounds in the Big 'Cap since <strong>Gentlemen</strong> carried 125 to <strong>Don't Blame Rio's </strong>117 in 1998. <strong>Silver Charm</strong> was given 124 that year but scratched the day before the race with a foot bruise. As you remember if you took the 1-20 odds, Gentlemen ran last in the four-horse field as barnmate <strong>Malek </strong>(115) won with <strong>Alex Solis</strong>.</p>

<p>The last highweight to concede more than eight pounds was <strong>Nodouble</strong>, who carried 130 to <strong>Figonero's</strong> 121 in 1970. Nodouble was a 6-5 favorite but finished eighth to <strong>Quicken Tree</strong> (118) and <strong>Fernando Alvarez</strong>.<br />
</p>]]>
    </content>
</entry>
<entry>
    <title>My Santa Anita Handicap picks</title>
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    <id>tag:www.insidesocal.com,2007:/wordsandnumbers//66.12474</id>
    
    <published>2007-03-03T02:45:14Z</published>
    <updated>2007-03-03T03:21:49Z</updated>
    
    <summary>Horses for Saturday&apos;s Santa Anita Handicap are shown in order of preference. Listed are post position, horse (weight assignment), jockey and morning line. 7 Lava Man (124), Corey Nakatani, 4-5 If he runs as he has in his last eight...</summary>
    <author>
        <name>Kevin Modesti</name>
        
    </author>
    
    <content type="html" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://www.insidesocal.com/wordsandnumbers/">
        <![CDATA[<p>Horses for Saturday's Santa Anita Handicap are shown in order of preference.<br />
Listed are post position, horse (weight assignment), jockey and morning line.</p>

<p>7 <strong>Lava Man</strong> (124), <strong>Corey Nakatani</strong>, 4-5<br />
If he runs as he has in his last eight starts in-state, it's hard to see how he loses<br />
8 <strong>Arson Squad</strong> (117), <strong>Garrett Gomez</strong>, 9-2<br />
Strub Stakes winner gets better as the races get longer, and has the leading rider<br />
1 <strong>Awesome Gem</strong> (116), <strong>Tyler Baze</strong>, 10-1 <br />
San Fernando winner can resume rapid improvement at a price after Strub flop<br />
</p>]]>
        <![CDATA[<p>6 <strong>Molengao</strong> (116), <strong>Victor Espinoza</strong>, 6-1<br />
San Antonio winner is likely to be far back early and need a tiring pace up front<br />
4 <strong>Ball Four</strong> (116), <strong>Julien Leparoux</strong>, 15-1 <br />
Wired Kentucky Cup Classic last fall; sneaking away from Lava Man will be harder<br />
9 <strong>McCann’s Mojave</strong> (115), <strong>Frank Alvarado</strong>, 15-1 <br />
If horse owned by PR man <strong>Mike Willman</strong> wins, expect cheering in the press box<br />
3 <strong>Boboman</strong> (115), <strong>Alex Solis</strong>, 12-1<br />
Grade I win in Hollywood Turf Cup freed <strong>Richard Mandella</strong> to try him on dirt<br />
2 <strong>El Roblar </strong>(114), <strong>Richard Migliore</strong>, 20-1<br />
Mandella hopes his third race after surgery and longer trip make this "the big day"<br />
5 <strong>Spring at Last</strong> (115), <strong>David Flores</strong>, 15-1<br />
A big-time "hidden entry play" for fans of Lava Man trainer <strong>Doug O'Neill</strong></p>]]>
    </content>
</entry>
<entry>
    <title>Lineups set for big races at Santa Anita</title>
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    <id>tag:www.insidesocal.com,2007:/wordsandnumbers//66.12316</id>
    
    <published>2007-02-28T19:29:32Z</published>
    <updated>2007-02-28T19:44:39Z</updated>
    
    <summary>Lava Man was made an odds-on favorite after a nine-horse field was set Wednesday morning for the $1 million Santa Anita Handicap on Saturday at Santa Anita Park in Arcadia. The Big &apos;Cap horses are listed below in post-position order...</summary>
    <author>
        <name>Kevin Modesti</name>
        
    </author>
    
    <content type="html" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://www.insidesocal.com/wordsandnumbers/">
        <![CDATA[<p><strong>Lava Man</strong> was made an odds-on favorite after a nine-horse field was set Wednesday morning for the $1 million Santa Anita Handicap on Saturday at Santa Anita Park in Arcadia. The Big 'Cap horses are listed below in post-position order with weight assignments, jockeys and morning-line odds.<br />
</p>]]>
        <![CDATA[<p>1. <strong>Awesome Gem</strong> (116), <strong>Tyler Baze</strong>, 10-1 <br />
Off the board in Strub, but the gelding has been first or second in six of eight starts<br />
2. <strong>El Roblar </strong>(114), <strong>Richard Migliore</strong>, 20-1<br />
Unlike Boboman, this <strong>Richard Mandella</strong> horse has dirt history (third in San Antonio)<br />
3. <strong>Boboman</strong> (115), <strong>Alex Solis</strong>, 12-1<br />
<strong>Brother Derek </strong>is out, so Solis reforms happy partnership with trainer Mandella<br />
4. <strong>Ball Four</strong> (116), <strong>Julien Leparoux</strong>, 15-1 <br />
<strong>Patrick Biancone</strong>-trained 6-year-old just missed first Calif. win in San Antonio ’Cap<br />
5. <strong>Spring at Last</strong> (115), <strong>David Flores</strong>, 15-1<br />
Second in Malibu, Strub since classy trainer switch – <strong>Todd Pletcher</strong> to <strong>Doug O’Neill</strong><br />
6. <strong>Molengao</strong> (116), <strong>Victor Espinoza</strong>, 6-1<br />
San Antonio winner from Brazil would be first foreign winner since Chile’s Malek (’98)<br />
7. <strong>Lava Man</strong> (124), <strong>Corey Nakatani</strong>, 4-5<br />
Defending champ and Cal-bred Horse of the Year has won eight straight races in-state<br />
8. <strong>Arson Squad</strong> (117), <strong>Garrett Gomez</strong>, 9-2<br />
Strub winner is first Big ’Cap runner for owners <strong>Mace</strong> and daughter <strong>Samantha Siegel</strong><br />
9. <strong>McCann’s Mojave</strong> (115), <strong>Frank Alvarado</strong>, 15-1 <br />
33-1 Sunshine Millions Classic winner seeks another upset for owner <strong>Mike Willman</strong></p>

<p>Santa Anita also set the field for Saturday’s $200,000 Robert B. Lewis Stakes (formerly the Santa Catalina Stakes), for 3-year-olds pointing to the Kentucky Derby.</p>

<p>1. <strong>Tiago, Victor Espinoza</strong><br />
2. <strong>Scat Thief, Michael Baze</strong><br />
3. <strong>Hurry Up Austin, Jon Court</strong><br />
4. <strong>French Transition, Julian Leparoux</strong><br />
5. <strong>Saint Paul, Alex Solis</strong><br />
6. <strong>Tap It Light, David Cohen</strong><br />
7. <strong>Sam P., Garrett Gomez</strong><br />
8. <strong>Great Hunter, Corey Nakatani</strong><br />
9. <strong>Boutrous, David Flores</strong></p>

<p><br />
</p>]]>
    </content>
</entry>
<entry>
    <title>Who&apos;s looking good for the Kentucky Derby?</title>
    <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.insidesocal.com/wordsandnumbers/2007/02/whos_looking_good_for_the_kent.html" />
    <link rel="service.edit" type="application/atom+xml" href="http://www.insidesocal.com/MT/mt-atom.cgi/weblog/blog_id=66/entry_id=12252" title="Who's looking good for the Kentucky Derby?" />
    <id>tag:www.insidesocal.com,2007:/wordsandnumbers//66.12252</id>
    
    <published>2007-02-27T21:58:17Z</published>
    <updated>2007-02-27T22:51:48Z</updated>
    
    <summary>Below is my top-20 ranking of the contenders for the May 5 Kentucky Derby going into three significant preps on Saturday -- the Robert Lewis Stakes at Santa Anita, and the Fountain of Youth and Hutcheson stakes at Gulfstream Park...</summary>
    <author>
        <name>Kevin Modesti</name>
        
    </author>
    
    <content type="html" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://www.insidesocal.com/wordsandnumbers/">
        <![CDATA[<p>Below is my top-20 ranking of the contenders for the May 5 Kentucky Derby going into three significant preps on Saturday -- the Robert Lewis Stakes at Santa Anita, and the Fountain of Youth and Hutcheson stakes at Gulfstream Park near Miami. I'm one of eight weekly contributors to the Louisville Courier-Journal's Derby rankings. The entire Courier-Journal poll can be found by clicking <a href="http://www.courier-journal.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20070225/SPORTS08/302250008/1037">here</a>.<br />
</p>]]>
        <![CDATA[<p>My top 10:<br />
1. <strong>Nobiz Like Shobiz</strong><br />
A winner at 1 1/8 miles; trained by Barclay Tagg (Funny Cide); runs Saturday in Fla.<br />
2. <strong>Street Sense</strong><br />
2-year-old champ drops as Carl Nafzger (Unbridled) delays his 3-year-old debut<br />
3. <strong>Ravel</strong><br />
Best of trainer Todd Pletcher's bunch could go in March 17 San Felipe at Santa Anita<br />
4. <strong>Any Given Saturday</strong><br />
Another Pletcher, he's starting the season against soft Tampa Bay competition<br />
5. <strong>Stormello</strong><br />
Bill Currin will run Hol. Futurity champ vs. No. 1 in Saturday's Fountain of Youth<br />
6. <strong>Circular Quay</strong><br />
More Pletcher; BC runnerup's recent loss in La. (with big excuse) was third in a row<br />
7. <strong>Liquidity</strong><br />
Doug O'Neill-trained (like No. 8); led, finished second to Stormello, Ravel in last two<br />
8. <strong>Notional</strong><br />
His win in the Risen Star was viewed nationally as Circular Quay's hard-luck loss<br />
9. <strong>Summer Doldrums</strong><br />
If you're that mythical creature who picks solely by speed figures, he's your horse<br />
10. <strong>Great Hunter</strong><br />
Rested by O'Neill after busy '06, BC show horse returns Saturday in Robert Lewis</p>

<p>My second 10:<br />
11. <strong>Scat Daddy</strong>; 12. <strong>Hard Spun</strong>; 13. <strong>Adore the Gold</strong>; 14. <strong>E Z Warrior</strong>; 15. <strong>Day Pass</strong>; 16. <strong>Forefathers</strong>; 17. <strong>Horse Greeley</strong>; 18. <strong>Belgravia</strong>; 19. <strong>Teuflesberg</strong>; 20. <strong>Drums of Thunder</strong><br />
</p>]]>
    </content>
</entry>
<entry>
    <title>More Dodgers frustration in Hall vote</title>
    <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.insidesocal.com/wordsandnumbers/2007/02/more_dodgers_frustration_in_ha.html" />
    <link rel="service.edit" type="application/atom+xml" href="http://www.insidesocal.com/MT/mt-atom.cgi/weblog/blog_id=66/entry_id=12238" title="More Dodgers frustration in Hall vote" />
    <id>tag:www.insidesocal.com,2007:/wordsandnumbers//66.12238</id>
    
    <published>2007-02-27T19:36:23Z</published>
    <updated>2007-02-27T19:50:06Z</updated>
    
    <summary>Dodgers Gil Hodges (61 percent), Maury Wills (40.2) and Don Newcombe (20.7) were among the top seven vote-getters in the Hall of Fame Veterans Committee balloting announced Tuesday -- but none of the candidates got the 75 percent needed for...</summary>
    <author>
        <name>Kevin Modesti</name>
        
    </author>
    
    <content type="html" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://www.insidesocal.com/wordsandnumbers/">
        <![CDATA[<p>Dodgers <strong>Gil Hodges</strong> (61 percent), <strong>Maury Wills</strong> (40.2) and <strong>Don Newcombe</strong> (20.7) were among the top seven vote-getters in the Hall of Fame Veterans Committee balloting announced Tuesday -- but none of the candidates got the 75 percent needed for enshrinement (see mlb.com coverage and the full results by clicking <a href="http://mlb.mlb.com/news/article.jsp?ymd=20070227&content_id=1817871&vkey=news_mlb&fext=.jsp&c_id=mlb">here</a>).</p>

<p>Among non-players, the late Dodgers owner <strong>Walter O'Malley</strong> (44.4) and former Dodgers and Angels general manager <strong>Buzzie Bavasi</strong> (37.0) were among the top four -- but here, too, nobody hit the magic number.</p>

<p>Since their eligibility for the writers' ballot expired long ago, Wills, Newcombe and fans of the late Hodges have anticipated this day each year with the hope the Dodgers greats will be honored.</p>

<p>Wait 'til next year?</p>]]>
        
    </content>
</entry>
<entry>
    <title>Who will win the Nissan Open?</title>
    <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.insidesocal.com/wordsandnumbers/2007/02/post_15.html" />
    <link rel="service.edit" type="application/atom+xml" href="http://www.insidesocal.com/MT/mt-atom.cgi/weblog/blog_id=66/entry_id=11255" title="Who will win the Nissan Open?" />
    <id>tag:www.insidesocal.com,2007:/wordsandnumbers//66.11255</id>
    
    <published>2007-02-15T17:35:50Z</published>
    <updated>2007-02-15T17:43:32Z</updated>
    
    <summary>I’ll take the 15-1 odds in Las Vegas on Jim Furyk to win L.A.’s pro golf tournament, which began this morning and runs through Sunday at Riviera Country Club in Pacific Palisades. Furyk is No. 2 in the official world...</summary>
    <author>
        <name>Kevin Modesti</name>
        
    </author>
    
    <content type="html" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://www.insidesocal.com/wordsandnumbers/">
        <![CDATA[<p>I’ll take the 15-1 odds in Las Vegas on <strong>Jim Furyk</strong> to win L.A.’s pro golf tournament, which began this morning and runs through Sunday at Riviera Country Club in Pacific Palisades.</p>

<p>Furyk is No. 2 in the official world rankings, and <strong>Whatsisname</strong> isn’t here.</p>

<p>More important, Furyk has three qualities that most recent Nissan Open winners have shared: he’s experienced (rather than a young phenom), he’s accurate off the tee (instead of a long driver), and he’s in good form (not just a big name).</p>]]>
        <![CDATA[<p>Of the 20 golfers on which LasVegas Sports Consultants has posted odds – from 6-1 <strong>Phil Mickelson</strong> to 35-1 <strong>Robert Allenby</strong> (2001 Nissan winner) and <strong>Rory Sabbatini</strong> (2006) – Furyk and 30-1 <strong>David Toms</strong> are the only two to rate high on experience, accuracy and form.</p>

<p>Furyk, 36, is third in the PGA Tour’s drives-in-fairway percentage stat, and is coming off fourth- and sixth-place finishes. Toms, 40, was 30th in drives-in-fairway last season, and has finished eighth, 13th and eighth in his latest tournaments.</p>

<p>Looking good in two of the three key categories: Mickelson, <strong>Vijay Singh</strong> (8-1), <strong>Luke Donald</strong> (15-1), <strong>Stuart Appleby</strong> (25-1), <strong>Mike Weir</strong> (25-1), and Allenby.</p>

<p>Furyk tied for 12th in the Nissan last year.</p>

<p>Here are Las Vegas’ full Nissan odds (cribbed from the Daily Racing Form):</p>

<p>6-1 – Mickelson<br />
8-1 – Singh<br />
10-1 – <strong>Ernie Els</strong><br />
15-1 – Donald, Furyk, <strong>Retief Goosen, Adam Scott</strong><br />
20-1 – <strong>Sergio Garcia</strong><br />
25-1 – Appleby, <strong>Aaron Baddeley, Stewart Cink, Padraig Harrington, Trevor Immelman</strong>, Weir<br />
30-1 – <strong>Chris DiMarco, Charles Howell III, Justin Rose</strong>, Toms<br />
35-1 – Allenby, Sabbatini<br />
2-1 – Everybody else</p>]]>
    </content>
</entry>
<entry>
    <title>After Dungy column, the e-mail bag overflows</title>
    <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.insidesocal.com/wordsandnumbers/2007/02/post_14.html" />
    <link rel="service.edit" type="application/atom+xml" href="http://www.insidesocal.com/MT/mt-atom.cgi/weblog/blog_id=66/entry_id=10725" title="After Dungy column, the e-mail bag overflows" />
    <id>tag:www.insidesocal.com,2007:/wordsandnumbers//66.10725</id>
    
    <published>2007-02-07T05:08:47Z</published>
    <updated>2007-02-07T06:27:45Z</updated>
    
    <summary>A lot of e-mailers thought I was unfair to Tony Dungy in my column Tuesday on the Super Bowl-winning coach&apos;s comments about his Christian faith. So, in the interest of balance, I&apos;ll give equal time to those e-mailers. Here are...</summary>
    <author>
        <name>Kevin Modesti</name>
        
    </author>
    
    <content type="html" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://www.insidesocal.com/wordsandnumbers/">
        <![CDATA[<p>A lot of e-mailers thought I was unfair to <strong>Tony Dungy</strong> in <a href="http://www.dailynews.com/sports/ci_5165638">my column Tuesday</a> on the Super Bowl-winning coach's comments about his Christian faith. So, in the interest of balance, I'll give equal time to those e-mailers. Here are highlights of today's batch of correspondence.</p>]]>
        <![CDATA[<p>One reader thinks I'm trying to deny Dungy his First Amendment right to speak:<br />
<blockquote>"I thought it didn't matter what race, religion, etc., you were because here in the U.S. you always had the freedom to say what you believe. Thanks for setting us all straight that only the famous people given a pass are those that spew hate for America, our President or Christians.  Now I understand who you are as a person."</blockquote><br />
A reader in Granada Hills voices a similar worry that I'm a threat to the First Amendment:<br />
<blockquote>"In a country that was founded 'under God,' why had it become such a big deal to mention his name?   Why does everything have to be politically correct?  Modesti, if you go along with that, you stand in jeopardy of ending the Constitutional Ammendments of freedom of the press or freedom of speech. ... Do you want to give up freedom of press? You offend us the reader more often than Dungy with some of the stuff you write.  So I start writing your editor to get you censored? It is time that we all become big boys and girls and not get so frazzled about the small stuff."</blockquote> <br />
Here's a reader who suggests Dungy was "talking about the anti-Christian media types," and thinks I shouldn't have quoted <strong>Jim Buzinski's </strong>column from the Website outsports.com:<br />
<blockquote>"Buzinski ... is not a good source since the site it (his column) is on is immoral."</blockquote><br />
A reader in Chatworth draws a contrast between Dungy and the Super Bowl's most infamous off-the-field flap:<br />
<blockquote>"I am thinking you probably didn’t have much of a problem with <strong>Janet Jackson’s </strong>nipple display.  So, do you teach your kids to hate God but excuse public nudity? You need to rethink what drives you."</blockquote><br />
The next reader makes the contrast between Dungy and "all of the end-zone dancing, Sharpie writing, chest pumping, self-centered, now-I-deserve-a-bigger-contract athletes of today":<br />
<blockquote>"I find it very refreshing to hear someone give the glory to someone else … even if that someone else is our creator.  Stirring up a hornets nest among liberals, atheists and ACLU pundits is, well, what those groups seem to salivate for anyway. Besides, believe in Him or not, it doesn’t change the fact …He is our creator."</blockquote><br />
The next says I've "joined the ever-so-liberal  branch of the media in attacking Chrisitianity," and asks: <br />
<blockquote>"Why is it that former Dodger <strong>Shawn Green</strong> is praised by the media when he doesn't play on Jewish holidays? Why isn't he condemned by the same media when  he consistently states he is proud of his faith? May that be because it is politically incorrect to criticize Jews but entirely acceptable to criticize Christians?"</blockquote> <br />
Another reader believes I and "the writing/blogging community" are upset with Dungy for refusing to play along with the two-black-coaches story line: <br />
<blockquote>"Dungy did what every faithful follower of <strong>Christ</strong> would do, that is to glorify God. Read Jer. 9:23-24 or I Cor. 10:31 if you doubt the importance of this for a believer. A disciple of Jesus is under a constant mandate to witness (Acts 1:8) and that Dungy, (Colts owner <strong>Jim) Irsay</strong>, and (Chicago Bears coach <strong>Lovie) Smith</strong> did quite well, to the consternation of those seeking their own racial triumph "angle" to the contest."</blockquote><br />
A reader in Seattle sends answers to the questions I raised about Dungy's comment, including this: <br />
<blockquote>"Should believers of other religions take offense from any or all of this? No. Dungy is proud of his beliefs and how he acted and believes that he is being a positive role model. If others don’t feel the same way about what they believe and how they act, they might want to reconsider what they believe in and how they act."</blockquote> <br />
A reader in Castaic says I exaggerate the importance of "color and ethnicity and religious labels," and says this is "what's wrong with our culture today":<br />
<blockquote>"When I see Tony Dungy, I see a fine Christian man, an excellent coach, and an excellent example before I see that he is black.  Our society would be light years ahead if everyone saw things this way (my opinion, of course)."</blockquote><br />
This reader says "those of faith" have been "subjected to discrimination" in recent years:<br />
<blockquote>"Give the man his due and back down on your righteous interpretation of his alleged superiority. Respect for others' beliefs means everyone's beliefs, not just non-Christians."</blockquote><br />
Similarly, this reader complains that the faithful "have had to sit by and watch this country take our right to faith away from us while the secular world does whatever it wants":<br />
<blockquote>"You see, Kevin, what we have is not a 'religion.' It's a relationship with Jesus Christ! And the last time I looked at the Constitution, it guaranteed us 'freedom of religion,' not freedom from religion!"</blockquote><br />
Here's someone in Thousand Oaks who fears my column put a negative spin on "what should have been a report dwelling on (Dungy's) achievement":<br />
<blockquote>"I find it both bothersome and disturbing when journalists take it upon themselves to write articles sparking debate and questioning the simple statements made by individuals, especially those made by Tony Dungy, a highly respected man in and out of pro football. ... (Y)our article and other oral commentary by sportscasters only creates heated debate. Is this what you want?"</blockquote><br />
This reader thinks I just don't get it:<br />
<blockquote>"You secular progressive sportswriters can't handle a Christian coach giving glory to God. But it's nothing new. <strong>Skip Bayless</strong> made a career by ripping <strong>Tom Landry</strong> 30 years ago. You can't understand how central faith can be to a person's life and work."</blockquote><br />
And -- finally -- here's a reader who disagrees with critics of Dungy's remark but seems to appreciate that I put their thoughts in the paper:<br />
<blockquote>"Does someone always have to be offended? Give the guy credit. He's got his priorities in order. Great article. Thanks!"</blockquote><br />
Thank you all.</p>]]>
    </content>
</entry>
<entry>
    <title>Kobe&apos;s heinous assault on Manu Ginobili</title>
    <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.insidesocal.com/wordsandnumbers/2007/01/kobes_heinous_assault_on_manu.html" />
    <link rel="service.edit" type="application/atom+xml" href="http://www.insidesocal.com/MT/mt-atom.cgi/weblog/blog_id=66/entry_id=10359" title="Kobe's heinous assault on Manu Ginobili" />
    <id>tag:www.insidesocal.com,2007:/wordsandnumbers//66.10359</id>
    
    <published>2007-01-31T01:57:11Z</published>
    <updated>2007-01-31T02:32:19Z</updated>
    
    <summary>I guess I missed it. All of us covering the Lakers-Spurs game on Sunday missed it. Here&apos;s the entire line from my play-by-play notes about the incident that led to Kobe Bryant&apos;s suspension by the NBA for one game without...</summary>
    <author>
        <name>Kevin Modesti</name>
        
    </author>
    
    <content type="html" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://www.insidesocal.com/wordsandnumbers/">
        <![CDATA[<p>I guess I missed it. All of us covering the Lakers-Spurs game on Sunday missed it.</p>

<p>Here's the entire line from my play-by-play notes about the incident that led to <a href="http://www.dailynews.com/ci_5118489"><strong>Kobe Bryant's</strong> suspension</a> by the NBA for one game without pay, Tuesday night's game at New York, costing the guard six figures in salary:</p>

<p><em>(2.7) / x24 bx20</em><br />
<em>OT</em></p>]]>
        <![CDATA[<p>Translation: After a timeout with 2.7 seconds left in regulation, from an in-bounds pass, Bryant (number 24) missed a shot, blocked by Manu <strong>Ginobili</strong> (number 20). And the game went to overtime.</p>

<p>On the next line of the notebook, I wrote:</p>

<p><em>(20 hurt?)</em></p>

<p>Ginobili had sunk to the floor, clutching his face, and begun OT on the bench, attended by the trainer.</p>

<p>But there was no hint of controversy or anger from either side. I remember that as the teams lined up for the OT center tip, Bryant's lips could be read asking <strong>Bruce Bowen</strong>, "Is Manu all right?" And repeating it when the question couldn't be heard over the crowd noise.</p>

<p>By all appearances, Bowen did not answer, "Manu's lucky to be alive, no thanks to you, and he says he'll see you in court!"</p>

<p>What a stupid suspension, also costing fans at Madison Square Garden a chance to watch Bryant and (we'll find out shortly) maybe costing the Lakers a victory. Bryant swung his arms, apparenty trying to draw a foul, and his right elbow caught Ginobili in the face. But no foul was called on Bryant or Ginobili, the Spurs guard was back on the court in minutes, and nobody thought twice about the brief episode.</p>

<p>It's instructive to look back at what was written about these incidents at the moment. I checked the Daily News, the Los Angeles Times and the Orange County Register. None of us even mentioned it in Monday's papers.</p>

<p>It was an accidental collision in a contact sport.</p>

<p>So having licked all of its other problems, from violence on the court to players' sloppy dress off it, the NBA front office has sent out another message by suspending Bryant:</p>

<p>Accidents will not be tolerated!</p>

<p>OK, whatever you say.<br />
</p>]]>
    </content>
</entry>
<entry>
    <title>Hillary on the object of the game</title>
    <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.insidesocal.com/wordsandnumbers/2007/01/hillary_on_the_object_of_the_g.html" />
    <link rel="service.edit" type="application/atom+xml" href="http://www.insidesocal.com/MT/mt-atom.cgi/weblog/blog_id=66/entry_id=9715" title="Hillary on the object of the game" />
    <id>tag:www.insidesocal.com,2007:/wordsandnumbers//66.9715</id>
    
    <published>2007-01-21T21:14:27Z</published>
    <updated>2007-01-21T21:21:07Z</updated>
    
    <summary>Please explain why Hillary Clinton, in announcing, &quot;I&apos;m in,&quot; found it useful to add, &quot;And I&apos;m in to win.&quot; Writing sports, I&apos;m always around people who are in to win. I notice that unless they&apos;re underdogs desperate to be taken...</summary>
    <author>
        <name>Kevin Modesti</name>
        
    </author>
    
    <content type="html" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://www.insidesocal.com/wordsandnumbers/">
        <![CDATA[<p>Please explain why <strong>Hillary Clinton</strong>, in announcing, "I'm in," found it useful to add, "And I'm in to win."</p>

<p>Writing sports, I'm always around people who are in to win. I notice that unless they're underdogs desperate to be taken seriously, they never need to point it out. So why does a politician with far more than an Orange Bowl at stake, one favored in the polls to win her party's nomination, punctuate her presidential candidacy kickoff by stating the obvious?</p>]]>
        <![CDATA[<p>Maybe she's trying to demonstrate to sexists that a woman possesses the focused will to be the leader of the free world. Or she means to set herself apart from <strong>Bill Clinton </strong>(in to sin?). Or from <strong>George W. Bush </strong>(in to have the win gifted to him by the Supreme Court?).</p>

<p>She <em>is</em> refreshingly blunt compared to mealy-mouthed candidates who vow merely to be the voice of the voiceless, further a just and productive society, restore America's respect around the world, etc.</p>

<p>In to win? Maybe she likes the rhyme and the easy fit for one-column headlines, which we in newspapers believe should be the first concern of all public figures.</p>]]>
    </content>
</entry>

</feed> 

