Citrus Belt League playoff scenarios

Here’s the nitty gritty. In the crazy CBL, what happens when each possible combination of game results happens.

The games: Miller (2-7, 1-5) at Cajon (8-1, 5-1)
Redlands East Valley (7-2, 5-1) at Yucaipa (7-2, 4-2)
Redlands (6-3, 4-2) at Carter (7-2, 4-2)
Standings reflect how teams would go into the playoffs. Top 3 are automatic. 4th place has good shot to get wild-card spot. 5th place is out.

Scenario 1:
Cajon wins
REV wins
Redlands wins
1. Cajon (6-1), 2. REV (6-1), 3. Redlands (5-2), 4. Yucaipa (4-3)

Scenario 2:
Cajon wins
REV wins
Redlands loses
1. Cajon (6-1), 2. REV (6-1), 3. Carter (5-2), 4. Redlands (4-3)

Scenario 3:
Cajon wins
REV loses
Redlands wins
1. Cajon (6-1) 2. 3-way tie between REV, Redlands, Yucaipa (5-2) requiring coin flip.

Scenario 4
Cajon wins
REV loses
Redlands loses
1. Cajon (6-1), 2. Yucaipa (5-2), 3. REV (5-2), 4. Carter (5-2)

Scenario 5
Cajon loses
REV wins
Redlands wins
1. REV (6-1), 2. Cajon (5-2), 3. Redlands (5-2), 4. Yucaipa (4-3)

Scenario 6
Cajon loses
REV wins
Redlands loses
1. REV (6-1), 2. Carter (5-2), 3. Cajon (5-2), 4. Redlands (4-3)

Scneario 7
Cajon loses
REV loses
Redlands wins
1. Cajon (5-2), 2. 3-way tie: Yucaipa (5-2), REV (5-2), Redlands (5-2)

Scenario 8
Cajon loses
REV loses
Redlands loses
1. Cajon (5-2), 2. Yucaipa (5-2), 3. REV (5-2), 4. Carter (5-2).

What’s going to happen? If I had to guess, REV and Cajon would win and flip a coin to see who wins Carter-Redlands. That means scenario 1 or 2 are the most likely.

Share this

Facebook Twitter Plusone Digg Reddit Stumbleupon Tumblr Email